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Ethel the Blog
Observations (and occasional brash opining) on science, computers, books, music and other shiny things that catch my mind's eye. There's a home page with ostensibly more permanent stuff. This is intended to be more functional than decorative. I neither intend nor want to surf on the bleeding edge, keep it real, redefine journalism or attract nyphomaniacal groupies (well, maybe a wee bit of the latter). The occasional cheap laugh, raised eyebrow or provocation of interest are all I'll plead guilty to in the matter of intent. Bene qui latuit bene vixit.

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Friday, December 03, 2004

COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS REPORT
The folks at
VHeadline are publishing a classified military document about U.S. counterinsurgency operations.
VHeadline.com editor & publisher Roy S. Carson writes: As a matter of public concern, especially where it relates to continuing belligerent United States of America interference in Venezuela's domestic political affairs and its not-so-covert support for anti-democratic forces within Venezuela weeking to overthrow the legitimate government of President Hugo Chavez Frias, VHeadline.com Venezuela today responsibly publishes (without permission) a top secret US Army document distributed to top Washington D.C. officials only last month in which United States' Counterinsurgency Operations are described in the form of a manual.
...
In an introduction, the document, which is available here in its 182-page entirety as a PDF file, informs its readers that "The American way of war includes mass, power, and the use of sophisticated smart weapons. However, large main force engagements that characterized conflict in World War II, Korea, and Operations Desert Storm and Iraqi Freedom in the Middle East have become the exceptions in American warfare. Since the American Revolution, the Army has conducted stability operations, which have included counter-insurgency operations. Over the past half-century alone, the Army gained considerable experience in fighting insurgents in Southeast Asia (Vietnam, Laos, Philippines), Latin America (Colombia, Peru, El Salvador, Guatemala, Nicaragua), Africa (Somalia), Southwest Asia (Afghanistan), and now the Middle East (Iraq).
...

posted by Steven Baum 12/3/2004 09:57:31 AM | link

Thursday, December 02, 2004

NAKED SHORT SELLING
Let's start with an
explanation of "short selling".
...
Short Selling is an investment strategy which makes a bet that a company's stocks is overpriced and will likely fall. Using an analogy helps to explain a process which few retail investors actually understand. Pretend that you borrowed your neighbor's lawn mower, which your neighbor generously says you may keep for a couple of weeks while he's on vacation. You're thinking of buying a lawn mower anyway so you've been researching the latest sales and have seen your neighbor's lawn mower on sale for $300, marked down from $500. While you're mowing your lawn, a passerby stops and offers to buy the lawn mower you're using for $450. You sell him the lawn mower, then go out and but the same one on sale for $300 and return it to your neighbor when he returns. Only now you've made a $150 on the deal.

Let's return to the stock market where similar principles apply. You believe Amazon is overvalued and its price is going to fall. So as a short seller, you borrow Amazon stock which, like the lawn mower you don't own, from a broker and sell it into the market. As long as the Amazon stock is in Street name or in the brokerage firm's inventory, the broker has the right to lend it out to you. You borrow and sell 100 shares of Amazon at $50 per share, yielding a gain, exclusive of commissions, of $5,000. Your research proves correct and a few weeks later Amazon is selling for $35 per share. You then buy 100 shares of Amazon for $3500 and return the 100 shares to the broker. You then have closed your position, and in the meantime you've made $1500. If the stock had gone up instead of down, you would have lost money, and unlike on the long side where the limit of your loss is the original amount you invested (stock goes to zero), on the short side the potential loss is infinite as the stock can continue to go up and up.

In order to short stocks you must open a margin account because you're actually borrowing the stock rather than owning it.
...

Now we proceed to "naked shorting" or "naked short selling".
For years, thousands of investors and public corporations have complained about their stock that seemed to be traumatized by “naked short selling”. Naked short selling is defined as selling short without borrowing the necessary securities to make a delivery, thus resulting in a failure to deliver the securities to the rightful owner. The main goal of naked short selling is to engage in harmfully affecting the price creating downward pressure on the security.

First, let there be a clear distinction between what it means to short sell and naked short sell a security. Short selling is defined as the selling of a security that the seller does not own and in which the seller will be able to buy the stock at a lower amount than the price they sold short. However, naked short selling is failing to borrow the necessary security, resulting in a failure to make the potential buyer a rightful owner of the company.

Arguably, short selling helps to provide a source of liquidity for the securities markets in times of boom or bust when shares of securities are needed in rapid supply. Yet, short selling is also used for illegal purposes, such as manipulating stock prices. For example, a stock can be constantly sold short to drive the price of the stock down to create sell interest. This can further cause a sharp decline in the number of bids and can give the effect that the security is falling because of poor news, bad earnings, or other fundamental investment reasons. If a company needs to raise necessary capital to help finance their business by selling stock on the market, this practice can be devastating to a company looking to build its roots.
...

Finally, we learn why it might or should be matter of concern to many of the same people who are getting screwed financially in various other ways by those pulling the strings.
...
Patch quoted Boni as noting that "strategic failures" occur "when the short sellers choose not to deliver shares that would be too expensive to borrow". Her analysis of Regulation SHO was that, "pre-Regulation SHO, equity and options market makers strategically failed to deliver shares that were expensive to borrow or impossible to borrow".

Boni said "strategic fails (i.e. naked short sales) likely accounted for a higher percentage of short interest pre-Regulation SHO than previously understood".

The professor said that a whopping 42% of listed stocks at the New York Stock Exchange, NASDAQ and AMEX, and 47% of unlisted stocks in the OTCBB and Pink Sheets had persistent fails of 5 days or more with 4% being above the SEC's threshold limits for failures.
...
Small public companies are squeezed not only by hedge funds, naked short sellers, overseas listers such as the Berlin Stock Exchange, and the out-of-control "Stock Borrow Program" run by the governance-conflict-laden Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation, but to the amazement of the industry, as often and not by their own regulators.

A new staff recommendation by Annette Nazareth, director of the division of market regulation at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to "outlaw" ownership of paper certificates at the same time the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation is under intense scrutiny for alleged electronic counterfeiting has begun hitting the small public company markets, company executives, shareholders and manipulative short-selling opponents like the proverbial ton of bricks.

A Dow Jones (DJ) article by Judith Burns sparked the uproar, as the inextricably intertwined web of connections between the SEC and the DTC, which is sagging from the weight of conflicted governance by representatives from a rollcall of industry heavyweights, including NASD, which owns NASDAQ (NDAQ), the New York Stock Exchange, Goldman Sachs (GS) and Lehman Brothers (LEH), to name only a few.

The Dow Jones report noted that "naked short-selling occurs when sellers don't buy shares to replace those they borrowed, a manipulative practice that can drive a company's stock price sharply lower.

The recent lawsuit filed by Nanopierce Technologies (NPCT) alleges that the Depository Trust and Clearing Corp. has a lot of reasons, almost one billion of them a year, to keep illegal naked short selling in operation. It was the shot across the bow by the legendary Houston law firms of Christian, Smith, Wukoson and Jewell, and OQuinn, Laminack and Pirtle, whose notches already include environmental targets, the breast implant industry and the tobacco industry, all brought to their knees.

In comments to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, C. Austin Burrell, who is providing litigation support and research for the law firms, said that StockGate is more massive than anyone may have imagined. "Illegal Naked Short Selling has stripped hundreds of billions, if not TRILLIONS, of dollars from American investors," and have resulted in over 7,000 public companies having been "shorted out of existence over the past six years." Burrell said some experts believe as much as $1 trillion to $3 trillion has been lost to this practice.
...
The Depository Trust Company (DTC) is a member of the U.S. Federal Reserve System, a limited-purpose trust company under New York State banking law and a registered clearing agency with the SEC. The depository supposedly brings efficiency to the securities industry by retaining custody of some 2 million securities issues, effectively "dematerializing" most of them so that they exist only as electronic files rather than as countless pieces of paper. The depository also provides the services necessary for the maintenance of the securities it has in "custody."

According to the suit, the DTCC has an enormous pecuniary and conflicted interest in the entire short selling scandal through the huge income stream they were realizing from it every day. They have made literally billions of dollars lending individual real shares, in most cases over and over, getting a fee each time they made a journal entry in the "Stock Borrow Program."

The Stock Borrow Program was purportedly set up to facilitate expedited clearance of stock trades. Somewhere along the line, the DTCC became aware that if it could lend a single share an unlimited number of times, it could collect a fee each time, according to Burrell. "There are numerous cases of a single share being lent ten or many more times," giving rise to the complaint that the DTCC has been electronically counterfeiting just as was done via printed certificates before the Crash.

"Such re-hypothecation has in effect made the potential 'float' in a single company's shares virtually unlimited and the term 'float' meaningless. Shares could be electronically created/counterfeited/kited without a registration statement being filed, and without the underlying company having any knowledge such shares are being sold or even in existence." Burrell said the Christian/O'Quinn lawsuits will seek to show that the "counterfeiting/creation of unregistered shares is a specific violation of the Securities Act of 1933, barring the 'Sale of Unregistered Securities'."

One lawsuit alleges that the DTC has a colossal disincentive to stop the "stock borrow" program, booking revenues from services of $425,416,000 and similarly, the NSCC deriving revenues of $293,133,000.

Further, the suit alleges that "open positions" resulting from this activity at the close of business on December 31, 2003, "approximated $3,025,467,000" due to NSCC, and $2,303,717,000 due by NSCC, and unsettled positions of $721,750,000 for securities borrowed through the NSCC's "Stock Borrow Program."

Nanopierce claims that DTCC and NSCC have joined in a "scheme" to "manipulate downward the price of the affected securities, thereby reducing the market value of the open fail to deliver positions." The suit also claims that the s have permitted sellers to maintain open fail to deliver positions of tens of millions of shares for periods of a year and even longer.

It quotes the National Association of Security Dealers as admitting that "concerns have been raised by members, issuers, investors and other interested parties about potentially abusive short selling activities occurring in the marketplace. In particular, naked short selling, or selling short without borrowing securities to make delivery, can result in long term failures to deliver, including aggregate failures to deliver that exceed the total float of a security. NASD believes such extended failures to deliver can have a negative effect on the market. Among other things, by not having to deliver securities, naked short sellers can take on larger short positions than would otherwise be permissible, which can facilitate manipulative activity."

The largely unregulated DTC has become something of a defacto Czar presiding over the entire U.S. markets system, wielding more day-to-day influence and control than the SEC, the NASD and NASDAQ combined.

The Depository Trust and Clearing Corp.'s two preferred shareholders are the New York Stock Exchange and the NASD, a regulatory agency that also owns the NASDAQ (NDAQ) and the embattled American Stock Exchange! Regulators, regulate thyself?

In an era when corporate governance is the primary interest for the SEC and state regulators, the DTCC is hardly a role model. Its 21 directors represent a virtual litany of conflict.
...

Basically, particularly rapacious, hungry and unethical foxes are "guarding" the henhouse containing your nest-egg, and don't hold your breath waiting for the foxes comprising the cabal to do anything about it, especially after their "mandate."
posted by Steven Baum 12/2/2004 10:46:09 AM | link

Wednesday, December 01, 2004

OHIO IRREGULARITIES
The Daily Kos has a most interesting analysis of voting in Columbus during the presidential election. Basically, undersupplying voting machines to the wards most likely to vote for Kerry guarantees a lower voter turnout. The question is whether the undersupply is deliberate or accidental. Given the number of non-accidental methods for fixing elections the GOP has been shown to have used since 2000, and the statistics in this case, we're assuming the former.
...
As the table above shows, of the 60 precincts with the fewest voting machines per registered voter, only 5 were won by Bush, and 55 were won by Kerry. Again, Bush enjoys disproportional favoritism. Bush won 125 precincts, and only 5 of them (4.00%) are represented here. Kerry won 346 precincts, 55 (15.9%) are represented here, and they include his major strongholds. In 41 of the 55 Kerry precincts, he exceeded his city wide share of 62.22% of the vote. None of these precincts enjoyed high voter turnout. In only 7 of the precincts was turnout was above 50%. Of these, 4 were won by Kerry, and 3 were won by Bush. Turnout was below 45% in 34 precincts, below 40% in 16 precincts, below 35% in 5 precincts, and below 30% in one precinct.

It is important to understand what these numbers mean. The polls in Ohio were open from 6:30 A.M. to 7:30 P.M. That is 13 hours, or 780 minutes. If there are 400 registered voters per voting machine, and turnout is 60%, each voter has less than 3.5 minutes to vote, and that is assuming a steady stream of voters, with no rushes at certain hours. It also assumes no challenges to voters at the polls. If there are 550 registered voters per voting machine, and the turnout is 60%, each voter has 2.4 minutes.

All of this amounts to theft of votes. It has been shown above that the Kerry precincts enjoyed a voter turnout similar to that of the Bush precincts when supplied with enough voting machines.
...


posted by Steven Baum 12/1/2004 10:35:18 AM | link


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