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Observations (and occasional brash opining) on science, computers, books, music and other shiny things that catch my mind's eye. There's a home page with ostensibly more permanent stuff. This is intended to be more functional than decorative. I neither intend nor want to surf on the bleeding edge, keep it real, redefine journalism or attract nyphomaniacal groupies (well, maybe a wee bit of the latter). The occasional cheap laugh, raised eyebrow or provocation of interest are all I'll plead guilty to in the matter of intent. Bene qui latuit bene vixit.

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Friday, August 23, 2002

PENSION BLOWUP NEXT?
John Crudele of the New York Post tells of a recent report about the pension plans in the S&P 500. Basically, companies with old-fashioned retirement plans (i.e. those who haven't yet convinced their employees how very much more lucrative 401(k) plans would be) depended on abnormal investment gains to maintain their pension funds.
...
But that trick isn't working anymore. And, according to an important new Merrill Lynch & Co. report, of the 346 companies in the S&P 500 index that have old-fashioned retirement plans, 82 percent were overfunded by just $1.1 billion at the end of last year.

That's an incredible drop from the $215 billion overfunding level at the end of 2000.

And, you guessed it, there may be no pension surplus at all after the woeful performance of the stock market this year.

Worse, the 346 companies were actually underfunded by an aggregate $245 billion at the end of 2001 when health care benefits to retirees were included in the calculations.

Health care and other post-retirement plans are not required by the government to be funded.

Merrill Lynch also calculated that earnings for the Standard & Poor's 500 companies would have been 6.1 percent lower in 2001 if the impact of pension funds, including interest costs and expected asset returns, were not included.
...
Merrill Lynch says the companies with the greatest underfunding when health care costs were included are General Motors, Ford, Exxon Mobil, Delphi Automotive Systems, DuPont, SBC Communications, Boeing IBM, Philip Morris and AMR Corp.
...


posted by Steven Baum 8/23/2002 10:38:06 AM | link

ANOTHER FOREIGN PERIL
Comstock Partners lays out the numbers for foreign investment in U.S. financial markets. Yet another sign of the progressive internationalist conspiracy to bring down their betters. I'd work out the details but I left my calculus book at home.
The unwinding of the enormous public participation in U.S. equity mutual funds is one of the major risks to the U.S. stock market. However, they are not the only players that pose a risk to the market. The foreign investments in U.S. stocks tell a similar story. Foreigners bought close to $45 billion in the last quarter of 1999 and almost 70 billion in the first quarter of 2000 followed by $50 billion in the third quarter of 2000. These were the largest quarterly purchases in history. In fact in the years 1999, 2000, and 2001 foreigners plowed in an unprecedented amount of money in U.S. equities. Much of these purchases we believe will also have to be unwound before the bear market ends.

This presents another problem. If foreigners don?t keep investing in the U.S. as we continue running $400 to $500 billion per year current account deficits the U.S. dollar could be in trouble. For the foreign investor, a strengthening dollar enhances the return from investing in U.S.equities, while a weakening dollar decreases it. The whole process turns into a vicious circle of the foreigners trying to bail out before the dollar and stocks go lower, while their sales of dollar based securities drive the dollar and stocks lower.

This is not a pretty picture. The current account deficit must be financed by foreigners redeploying over $1 billion a day of U.S. dollars back into this country. If foreign investment does not continue at the levels of the past few years, this could have a major impact on the U.S. dollar. If that in turn, causes actual net selling of U.S. financial securities the vicious circle of selling would commence.

The number to keep in mind that is 'at risk' is over $9 trillion of foreign holdings of U.S. financial assets and about $4 trillion of that is in U.S. equities. This poses a risk to the equity markets that actually exceeds the risk of public liquidation of equity mutual funds.
...


posted by Steven Baum 8/23/2002 10:23:04 AM | link

AFTER IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE
John Makin of the American Enterprise Institute looks at the old canard about stocks being better than bonds or other investments "on average over the long run" and begs to disagree. The last paragraphs in the article even indicate a bit of apostasy from someone working for a group that's usually curled up at the feet of big business, waiting for a biscuit and a pat on the head for a propaganda job well done.
...
Merrill Lynch's "bullish on America" campaign, which blends patriotism and a preference for stocks, probably represents the ultimate cynical appeal to unsophisticated households hesitant to jump into the stock market and thereby to help sustain rising equity prices that would attract even more households into the market. The cynicism has been underscored by the release of internal memos at Merrill Lynch and other brokerage firms wherein their stock touts chuckle about the junk stocks they are foisting off onto the American public while collecting hefty underwriting fees from the companies issuing the stock.

Looking at the stock-buying-is-patriotic (and profitable) appeal from brokerage firms, one can only imagine that effective leadership at such firms required someone either stupid or cynical enough to believe this story. Both before and after stock price debacles, the principals involved are eager to assure everyone that they believed (ex ante) or believe (ex post) in whatever company's stocks they were selling.

Those who doubt the equity bias of the brokerage world should try calling their broker and saying they are bullish on America and so would like to buy some U.S. government securities, treasury bills, bonds, or notes. In 1999, the brokerage firm's account executive would simply have laughed. Today they ask "seriously" if the 3 or 4 percent on five- or ten-year notes "really makes sense" when stocks--on average--yield more than 7 percent. By the way, there are virtually no brokerage fees on U.S. government securities transactions.

When all is said and done, American households are left amidst the heavy losses in stocks over the past several years with a few very old truths. No single asset class guarantees superior returns, and certainly none guarantees returns of 20 (or even 10) percent a year. No single asset class should be preferable over the others once one takes account of risks existing at the time of investment. As with every other bubble, the aftermath of the equity market bubble leaves investors with the basic truth that chasing extraordinary returns on any particular asset class, be it stocks, tulips, or bonds issued by Latin American countries, is a fool's game. If nothing else, keeping that lesson in mind, American investors may hope to earn back most of their losses over the past two and a half years with a diversified portfolio of investments. But it is probably going to take at least five years to recoup those losses. Markets tend to go down faster than they go up, and there is no reason to suppose that investing most of one's funds in the stock market will speed up the process of recouping losses suffered over the past few years.


posted by Steven Baum 8/23/2002 10:17:59 AM | link

Thursday, August 22, 2002

A WILLFUL CENTURY
Leni Riefenstahl turns 100 today, although
some are in less of a celebratory mood than others about the occasion.
Prosecutors in Frankfurt put a damper on the 100th birthday celebrations of Nazi-era film-maker Leni Riefenstahl Thursday, announcing a probe into her views on gypsy film extras who perished in Nazi death camps.
...

posted by Steven Baum 8/22/2002 04:29:51 PM | link

725 REASONS
The Physicians Committee for Responsible Medicine provides some more details about the U.S. military's use of animals in
725 Reasons Why You Don't Want to Be an Animal in a Military Lab.
...
In 1992 and again in 1994, PCRM doctors testified before Congress on military animal use and worked with the General Accounting Office (GAO) in its investigation of Michael Carey's experiments at Louisiana State University. Carey had shot 700 restrained cats in the head to "model" human injuries. As a result of the investigation, Carey's cat-shooting experiments were halted. Other labs in which animals were shot for training purposes discontinued these practices, two laboratories were forced to improve their animal care standards, and a computer tracking system was set up to monitor animal use.

The military's new tracking system now lists 725 military experiments using animals, exposed to light for the first time. Some are patently unnecessary: military experimenters use pigs to experiment with laser tattoo removal and use rats, pigeons, and squirrel monkeys to study drug abuse. Other experiments, particularly biological and chemical weapons tests, are among the most gruesome experiments imaginable. The GAO is again investigating military animal use, and PCRM has prepared a series of reports on the experiments and rallied experts to critique them. We have found scores of military tests that kill animals and serve no realistic military purpose.
...
Chemical weapons are widely tested on rats, primates, pigs, rabbits, and other animals. Poison gases can damage the lungs, nerves, skin, and eyes, and cause a slow and painful death.
...
Mustard gas, first used in World War I, continues to be a favorite agent for Department of Defense animal experimenters. Yet good treatments are already available and are easy to use. Military personnel receive a "Mark I Kit" with two self-injectable antidotes to the gas: atropine, which counteracts the effects, and pralidoxime chloride, which binds the nerve agent so it can be cleared from the body. Preventive drugs, such as benactyzine, oximes, aprophen, and physostigmine, are also commonly used. Little about these treatments has changed in the last 35 years, yet military experimenters continue to receive hundreds of thousands of dollars for animal tests with the agent.
...

Next we have an article entitled Military Animal Research by the Medical Research Modernization Committee.
...
The U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) experiments extensively on a wide range of species. There are currently 34 (DOD) labs worldwide, with four outside the U.S. During Fiscal Year 1999 DOD reports experimenting on 327,097 animals, a 12% increase over the previous year. 187,257 animals die in actual DOD labs, and 139,840 suffer in non-DOD labs funded by DOD contracts. Most (80%) of these animals are experimented on by the Army, the Air Force using 8%, the Navy using 3%, and unaffiliated DOD labs using 9.3%

Experiments funded by the Department of Defense are typically more invasive than projects funded by other sources. Your local university may be doing some gruesome projects, but they are likely not subjecting animals to chemical weapons, ionizing radiation, lasers, high power microwaves, and biological weapons. DOD experiments do all of these things. One way to objectively measure the invasiveness of experimentation is to look at the percentage of animals used in painful experimentation without benefit of pain relievers. Using USDA national figures, 9% of animals suffer without pain relievers in experimentation. Fifteen percent of the animals experimented on in military projects (intramural and extramural) suffer without benefit of pain relievers. The numbers become even worse when looking within actual DOD labs, where fully 18.2% of the animals are used in painful experiments without anesthesia.
...
A recent (fiscal 1997) USDA animal use report for Brooks discloses the use of about 300 primates per year, with a separate primate colony maintained at 297. This report also discloses the use of 69 primates in painful experimentation without benefit of anesthesia. The experiment these primates endured involved "standard operant conditioning techniques using negative reinforcement."
...
he primates in the labs at Brooks have not fared well over the years. Necropsy reports (post-mortems) reveal conditions indicating inadequate care. Many of the primates for whom documentation was available are listed as having little to no body fat. The lack of body fat indicates an animal that has endured a serious illness, or a long-term debilitating condition. Often the primates are simply listed as found dead at the morning cage check. Pathological conditions serious enough to cause death do not occur instantaneously. However, the necropsy reports often mention nothing in the way of treatment for these pathological conditions. Parasites are common in many of the primates. Conditions like gastric bloat, pneumonia, and chronic wasting conditions are also common.
...

Well, sure, but evil Osama killed three dogs, and these guys are probably just a front for evil PETA, the invocation of whose name is all that is needed for refutation.
posted by Steven Baum 8/22/2002 11:17:44 AM | link

IT'S THE MEDIA'S FAULT
The
Washington Times reveals the culprit behind all this constant, loose talk about invading Iraq. Is it a Cabal leader who intones "there must be a regime change in Iraq" before every golf swing? No. Is it the dynamic duo of Perle and Wolfowitz who loudly and often bray about wanting to invade every country on the planet except Israel? No. Is it a Secretary of Defense who sings harmony on the "regime change in Iraq" line? No. Is it the neocon shadow government's vanity press that churns out "invade all the evildoers of evil" propaganda by the trainload? No. It's dat ol' debbil the liberal media that's beating the war drums and rattling the sabres.
President Bush and Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld yesterday ridiculed press speculation about war against Iraq, which they dismissed as a "frenzy," but continued to call for the ouster of Iraqi President Saddam Hussein.

"I know there is this kind of intense speculation that seems to be going on," the president told reporters after meeting at his ranch with Mr. Rumsfeld and other military advisers. "It's kind of a churning."

"A frenzy," interjected Mr. Rumsfeld, who stood beside Mr. Bush on the 1,600-acre Prairie Chapel Ranch.

"'Frenzy' is how the secretary would describe it," Mr. Bush added. "But the subject didn't come up."
...

I really do have to admire how they can pinch off this stuff without cracking up, although I'll bet they were rolling on the floor when they got back inside the compound.
posted by Steven Baum 8/22/2002 10:52:26 AM | link

TRASHING THE SAUDIS
Robert Novak thankfully puts down his pundit hat long enough to do a bit of reporting now and then. His latest piece is about the "Saudi Arabia is the kernel of evil" briefing given to the Pentagon by Richard Perle's cats-paw Laurent Murawiec. Novak tells of (perhaps) unintended consequences of the briefing.
...
Indeed, there are high-level Saudis who do not want to be friendly to the United States. The Murawiec briefing helped not only Perle and fellow American conservatives but also anti-American elements in Saudi Arabia, whose popularity is growing. After the briefing, the mass circulation publication Okaz described the Pentagon as filled with "either Jews or allies of the Zionist lobby." Saudi officials then reiterated refusal to permit the Kingdom's use for an attack on Iraq.
...
The very interesting bit, though, is contained in the penultimate paragraph.
...
Israeli accusations of Saudi complicity in suicide bombings have been spread through Washington, but they are not substantiated by U.S. intelligence.
...
The only possible conclusion, of course, is that Novak is an anti-semite.
posted by Steven Baum 8/22/2002 10:29:05 AM | link

THE FIX WAS IN
Although I already posted an item about this a few days ago, that
recent U.S. war games were fixed deserves wider recognition. After all, the supposed success of the U.S. team will undoubtedly be used as further support for the Cabal's Iraq invasion jones.
The biggest war game in the history of the United States, staged this month at a cost of $US253 million with 13,000 troops, was rigged to ensure that the Americans beat their "Middle Eastern" adversaries, says a leading participant.

General Paul Van Riper, a retired marine lieutenant-general, told the Army Times that the sprawling three-week millennium challenge exercises, were "almost entirely scripted to ensure a win".

He protested by quitting his role as commander of enemy forces, and warning that the Pentagon might wrongly conclude that its experimental tactics were working.

When General Van Riper agreed to command the forces of an unnamed Middle Eastern state he thought he would be given a free rein to probe US weaknesses. But when the game began, he was told to deploy his forces to make life easier for US forces.

"We were directed ... to move air defences so that the army and marine units could successfully land," he said. They were also ordered to turn air defence systems off or move them.

The Army Times reported that, as commander of a low-tech, third-world army, General Van Riper appeared to have repeatedly outwitted US forces.

He sent orders with motorcycle couriers to evade sophisticated electronic eavesdropping equipment. When the US fleet sailed into the Gulf, he instructed his small boats and planes to move around in apparently aimless circles before launching a surprise attack which sank a substantial part of the US Navy. The war game had to be stopped and the American ships "refloated" so that the US forces stood a chance.

"They had a predetermined end, and they scripted the exercise to that end," said General Van Riper, who quit when he found out that his orders were being overruled by the military co-ordinators of the game.


posted by Steven Baum 8/22/2002 10:17:13 AM | link

HEDGING AND SHORTING
Fall Street has some interesting bits about hedge funds and shorting today. We'll start with their editorial.
Part of the reason why bear market rallies are so spectacular and convincing is because of short covering: as short sellers lock in profits, or in some cases scramble to cover, even tiny amounts of additional non-short buying can help propel market prices quickly higher.

The recent stats from the NYSE suggest that either shorts did not cover during the late July spike higher in the markets, or they had previously (July 11-July 24) acquired extra massive short positions and covered only part of these positions. Admittedly, the data is vague because it is only released on a monthly basis (more often than not it is rumors and/or people on the floor have a better sense for when shorts are scrambling to cover than the data later reveals).

Whatever the case may be, there is currently a record amount of short interest on the NYSE, both in terms of total shares short and as a percentage of all outstanding shares. It is worth remembering that just as many investors panicked and cut their losses in late July because prices were dropping, the same thing can happen to many shorts if prices continue to rise. What is also worth remembering is that the data is only current as of August 12. As such, if short interest posts a hefty decline at this time next month we may discover that the current rally has been underpinned by unlikely sources: namely shorts, who many people believed had become exhausted after the markets ?bottomed? in July.

Next, Graham Searjeant of the Times asks to be saved from the bogeymen, i.e. the hedge funds
DURING the last crazy days of the stock market collapse, when the Dow Jones average capped a 20 per cent fall over 30 months by plunging 18 per cent in 12 trading days, one top investment banker explained that a battle was raging between hedge funds and insurance companies.

The subsequent bounce was not a victory for savings institutions. The mysterious sellers had gone as far as they easily could, cashed their profits and gone away. Some turned to Tokyo, where hedge fund trading, mainly selling, now makes up 20 per cent of turnover.

Unless you are among the high-worth individuals with big stakes in the flashier funds, such episodes show hedge funds at their worst, the bogeymen of global finance. Defenders argue that their strong-minded trading strategies just accelerated what would have been a long, debilitating decline, just as George Soros put Britain out of its misery in 1992 by hastening the fall of our artificial exchange rate.
...

Finally, Jonathan Chevreau of the National post tells us we shouldn't blame hedge funds for the bear market. He tells of a defensive press release from the Hennessee Group LLC, wherein they claim their industry isn't profiting from the bear market. Their spokesman has identified the true villains, however: program traders and futures managers.
...
The first group includes mostly investment banks using buy/sell programs to hedge their balance sheet risk. The second includes traders of S&P 500 and Nasdaq contracts, many of which have become electronic and hence added to volatility.

Furthermore, unlike hedge funds, futures managers are making money from all this bearish volatility and from shorting stocks or indexes: They're up 18% on average for the 12 months ended July 31, and 60% in some cases.

Mr. Gradante also singled out NYSE specialists, who can step aside as stocks fall to their natural price support level because of a shortage of buyers. These, he said, account for much of the "gapping down" in stock prices: "more so than short selling by hedge funds."
...

Chevreau finishes by asking an obvious question about the mea no culpa of the hedge funds.
...
The only thing I don't understand is, being the good capitalists they presumably are, why haven't hedge fund managers lived up to their name and done a better job shorting overvalued stocks for the benefit of their affluent clientele? I hardly think it's some altruistic policy not to profit from the bear-market miseries of others.

posted by Steven Baum 8/22/2002 10:07:02 AM | link

Wednesday, August 21, 2002

A CHEMICAL HORN OF PLENTY
William Blum tells how an article he wrote in 1998 scooped the Times on the Iraq/U.S. chemical and biological weapon connection by a few years.
According to a Senate Committee Report of 1994: From 1985, if not earlier, through 1989, a veritable witch's brew of biological materials were exported to Iraq by private American suppliers pursuant to application and licensing by the U.S. Department of Commerce. (1) Amongst these materials, which often produce slow, agonizing deaths, were:

  • Bacillus Anthracis, cause of anthrax.
  • Clostridium Botulinum, a source of botulinum toxin.
  • Histoplasma Capsulatam, cause of a disease attacking lungs, brain, spinal cord and heart.
  • Brucella Melitensis, a bacteria that can damage major organs.
  • Clotsridium Perfringens, a highly toxic bacteria causing systemic illness.
  • Clostridium tetani, highly toxigenic.
  • Also, Escherichia Coli (E.Coli); genetic materials; human and bacterial DNA.

Dozens of other pathogenic biological agents were shipped to Iraq during the 1980s. The Senate Report pointed out: "These biological materials were not attenuated or weakened and were capable of reproduction." (2)

"It was later learned," the committee revealed, "that these microorganisms exported by the United States were identical to those the United Nations inspectors found and removed from the Iraqi biological warfare program."

These exports continued to at least November 28, 1989 despite the fact that Iraq had been reported to be engaging in chemical warfare and possibly biological warfare against Iranians, Kurds, and Shiites since the early 80s.

Those interested in the hard stuff can peruse Part 1 and Part 2 of "U.S. Chemical and Biological Warfare-Related Dual Use Exports to Iraq and Their Possible Impact on the Health Consequences of the Persian Gulf War", the Senate report to which Blum refers.
posted by Steven Baum 8/21/2002 05:06:39 PM | link

LIKE A MISSED EXTRA POINT
The Canuck sends this timely obituary.
Harvey Kapnick, chairman and chief executive officer of Arthur Ande rsen in the 1970s and an early advocate of separating consulting and auditing, died Friday of a heart attack. He was 77.

His leadership was marked by his disputed proposal that the accounting and fast-growing consulting businesses be separated -- an issue that ultimately led him to step down after his fellow accounting partners rejected the idea.

Andersen's accounting and consulting practices were separated in 1989, but the conflict-of-interest issue came back to haunt the firm after one of its clients, Enron Corp., filed for bankruptcy last year.


posted by Steven Baum 8/21/2002 04:56:29 PM |
link

QUOTE OF THE DAY
"Maybe Mr Perle would like to be in the first wave of those who go into Baghdad."

Republican Senator Chuck Hagel (via BartCop)


posted by Steven Baum 8/21/2002 02:09:02 PM | link

DISMAL TIMES
Maurice Peston, emeritus professor of economics at Queen Mary College, London,
asks an interesting question.
..
Referring back to the Economic Affairs Committee, Willem Buiter in his evidence to us said that all good economic research is done at universities and not think-tanks. No other economist merits consideration.

That was, of course, music to my ears. But it does lead to a problem. If microeconomics is to be taken seriously, which may be debatable, salaries must be interpreted as reflecting the value at the margin of the people concerned. Since those not in the university sector get paid so much more than those in it, this must say something about their rela tive worth. What is it that those non-university economists do that is so valuable? Since a belief in microeconomics also commits you to the rationality assumption, you cannot get off the hook by saying the market's valuations are mistaken. This may happen occasionally but not persistently.

I am particularly interested in this because, although there were economists who addressed the question of the overvaluation of stock markets, I know of none who proposed the explanation in terms of dodgy accounting practices and misleading figures. Many of us thought share prices could not possibly reflect the discounted present value of expected profits. But there were none who said that revealed, allegedly audited profits did not reflect the existing true position.

This was so, even though many of the economists worked for firms that actually did the accounting or were closely connected with them.

Obviously, the libel laws prevent us from saying we have doubts concerning the accounts of named companies. But since we are always querying official figures, do we not also have a duty to express doubts on the published profitability of one or more parts of the private sector? Indeed, on the rotten apples analogy, surely the best assumption is not to be reassured by the accounting bodies. We no longer know what is the norm on accounting practices, and a good deal more openness and critical scrutiny is required before any set of accounts can be trusted. That is a measure of how much damage has been done by the cases that have come to light so far.
...


posted by Steven Baum 8/21/2002 01:39:18 PM | link

DEMOCRACY BLOOMS IN PAKISTAN
Unelected Pakistan President(-for-Life) Pervez Musharraf has decided to grant himself and the military virtually unlimited power after "weeks of debate." That is, opposition parties and the legal community were asked if they agreed, they said they didn't, and Pervez is proceeding to grant himself the power to dismiss parliament if it annoys him.
Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf said on Wednesday that he will have the right to dismiss parliament as part of a package of constitutional amendments finalized after weeks of debate.

The decision restores to the President a key constitutional power that was taken away by the government of the last prime minister, Nawaz Sharif.

In remarks carried by state television, Gen. Musharraf said that his plan for a National Security Council, a civilian-military body to monitor future governments, will be upheld despite strong opposition among political parties and many Pakistanis.
...
The proposed amendments were put forward in June but were rejected by mainstream political parties and legal bodies, which said they would cement the grip on power of the military, which has ruled Pakistan more than half its 55-year history.
...

But wait a minute! Musharraf has made one tremendous concession.
...
Gen. Musharraf appeared to have made only a slight retreat to the proposals despite such determined criticism, ahead of parliamentary elections scheduled for Oct. 10.

The original proposals, unveiled in June, would have also given the president separate powers to dismiss the prime minister and the cabinet. Now it appears Gen. Musharraf would have to dissolve the entire parliament to remove the prime minister.
...

Well, at least he's not forcing the people to vote on such things like that ruthless bastard in Venezuela. In Kirkpatrickspeak, unelected dictator Musharaff is authoritarian while twice-elected Chavez is totalitarian.
posted by Steven Baum 8/21/2002 01:18:57 PM |
link

NOT SO NEO
An alert reader points to a
1995 Usenet post containing "fanwank."
posted by Steven Baum 8/21/2002 01:09:43 PM | link

YOU CAN'T SPELL NEOLOGISM WITHOUT...
The Canuck sends me a neologism he found on a Usenet group. It shouldn't be too tricky to figure out which group from the context.
That's absurd, but I can fanwank it into something reasonable, so it doesn't bother me that much. Not enough to kill WSOD, at least. I have a pretty high WSOD level, though.

posted by Steven Baum 8/21/2002 11:05:23 AM |
link

REMEMBRANCE OF MAGAZINES PAST
Wendy Grossman waxes nostalgically about various computer magazines that have bitten the dust. (With the latest one that affects me being the demise of the Perl Journal from even the temporary alliance with SysAdmin.) While perilous post-bubble economic times have certainly had something to do with their demise, she maintains that they also had a propensity for shooting themselves in the foot.
Personally, I blame the publishers. Publishers have relentlessly hacked away at the quality of these magazines, dumping experienced people in favor of younger, cheaper writers. Most of these titles were understaffed, underbudgeted, and plagued with word counts such that a freelance reviewing printers couldn't afford to do more than wrestle it out of the box and print a page or two. Reviews and features have gotten shorter and shorter, with accordingly less meat to them. A favorite trick in the early 1990s was to raise the point size on the page; same number of pages, but shorter features (and therefore lower article fees for freelances). Photographers were cut, too, as instead of calling in professionals to do product photos and screen shots (literally: camera on a tripod pointing at the computer screen) magazines now rely on free-use PR-supplied photos and digital screen shots taken by the writer. It's not the Internet's fault if publishers have a death wish.
She also provides an interesting anecdote about what can happen when the novelty wears off.
Martin Banks used to pop up every so often in technology journalists' online discussions to remind us all that once upon a time there were three refrigerator magazines. They ran features on how best to arrange food, how long to keep it, storage techniques, and, I imagine, quirky little pieces about whether the light stays on when you close the door. It always served as a frightening reminder of what could happen when computers finally went mainstream and became less the focus of intense interest and more just one of those things you have in your house that everyone knows how to live with.

posted by Steven Baum 8/21/2002 10:57:07 AM | link

BCCI
A thorough overview of what's undoubtedly still going on today in the shadowy world where international finance meets drug smuggling meets various spook agencies can be acquired via a review of the history of the infamous BCCI. That it was humorously referred to as the Bank of Crooks and Criminals International by those investigating it as well as many of those actually involved with it is ample testimony to its nature. Several books about BCCI have appeared in the last decade. I've got a few on order and the first to arrive was The Outlaw Bank by Jonathan Beaty and S. C. Gwynne. Here's their precis of the matter from the introduction.
BCCI was the largest criminal corporate enterprise ever, the biggest Ponzi scheme, the most pervasive money laundering operation in history, the only bank - so far as anyone knows - that ran a brisk sideline business in both conventional and nuclear weapons, gold, drugs, turnkey mercenary armies, intelligence and counterintelligence, shipping, and commodities from cement in the Middle East to Honduran coffee to Vietnamese beans.

Though it was fundamentally a financial fraud, BCCI itself was not a bank in any conventional sense. Or, more precisely, banking was only a part of the global organism, the ingeniously constructed platform from which its other lines of business were launched. Taken collectively, it was more of an armed Renaissance city-state of Machiavelli's era than a modern corporation. This "bank" possessed its very own diplomatic corps, intelligence network, and private army, its own shipping and commodities trading companies. And BCCI itself was so thoroughly enmeshed in the official affairs of Pakistan that it was often impossible to separate the two.

BCCI was bigger even than that: It was the unsettling next-stage evolution of the multinational corporation, the one the theorists had been predicting for years but which never seemed to be able to shed its sovereign boundaries. (General Motors and Mitsubishi are both good examples of this - huge companies with holdings and operations all over the world that nonetheless persist in being fundamentally American and Japanese entities). In taking that step, BCCI became truly stateless and very nearly invisible to the authorities in each country where it did business. The BCCI scandal shows what sort of frightening mischief can be made in a world where trillions of electronic dollars routinely wash in and out of international financial markets.

Nor was BCCI a conspiracy. In much of what it did, BCCI reflected the way the world works. The organization was designed to mimic the way the world's largest corporations and banks move and hide their money. It was no accident that BCCI was incorporated in Luxembourg, one of the least regulated nations on earth and a favorite haven of the money men at the Fortune 500. It was no accident that it ran its wildest manipulations through what amounted to a branch in the Cayman Islands - a place long favored by major banks to hold offshore money away from the ken of the IRS and banking authorities. BCCI had mastered these black arts so well that it became the bank of choice for the intelligence agencies of the western hemisphere, who found its deeply secretive methods more and more useful. BCCI was necessary to them; it was part of the way they worked, too. It was those alliances, along with bribery on a grand scale, that allowed the criminal bank to flourish for two decades with effective immunity from the law.

This is the story of how the wealthy and corrupt in Latin America managed to steal virtually every dollar lent to their countries by Western banks, creating the debt crisis of the 1980s; how heads of state such as Ferdinand Marcos, Saddam Hussein, Manual Noriega and others skimmed billions from their national treasuries and hid them in Swiss and Caymanian accounts forever free from snooping regulators; how Pakistan and Iraq got materials for nuclear weaponry and how Libya built poison-gas plants. BCCI is also the story of how governments manage to put together arms deals with supposedly hostile governments, as in the case of Israel's clandestine trades with Arab states, or the United States' supplying weapons to both Iraq and Iran in violation of its own laws. BCCI is a paradigm of how our national borders have been rendered porous, despite the best attempts of law enforcement; it is about terrorism and how terrorism is financed; it is about how drugs enter the United States and Europe and how the drug lords disguise and conceal their ill-gotten gains. The BCCI scandal affords a rare and representative glimpse at the trillion-dollar-plus underground market for secret money that moves at will in and out of the world's most sophisticated and highly regulated economies. For all of these reasons, no authorities anywhere were in a hurry to shut down BCCI: The bank was as useful to governments as it was to crooks, and indeed, governments became active participants in the fraud. In the United States BCCI became the subject of a massive and decade-long cover-up. For the investigators and the reporters who finally cracked it, the most difficult task of all was breaking down the formidable walls erected by their own law enforcement agencies. Penetrating the cover-up became the key that finally unlocked the BCCI scandal.


posted by Steven Baum 8/21/2002 10:53:59 AM |
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DISSENT AT WACO
Al Martin reports that there was indeed dissent at the Waco Economic LoveFest, although the malefactor was quickly removed by the purity squad.
They didn't show the audience, and they purposely didn't pan the camera over the audience. After Muriel Siebert said that [people should be able to double the amount of money they can put it 401(k) plans], Bush said he thought that was a good idea, and some guy yells out from the audience, "But, Mr. President, the people don't have any money left. All your Republican pals stole it all."

Then they went to a break. They took the camera off the president and showed a bunch of people standing and a few seconds later they panned the audience and in the front row, there was a person missing. Evidently the guy had been hauled out, but they didn't want to show it on camera.

Then Bush made either a Freudian slip or had consumed too many "sports drinks" to follow the script.
Then Bush made another interesting faux pas. The panel was talking about the acceleration of tax cuts for the rich and Steve Forbes said that he was tired of hearing this and that it's just Democratic propaganda. He was referring to all the times you hear on the news that the tax cuts are for the "rich" or the "Republican rich." But he planted that in everyone's mind. Then Bush said that he thinks we should "accelerate tax cuts for the rich." After he realized what he said, he added, "I didn't mean to say that. I meant for the people."
Al then reports on his latest run-in with the Neighborhood Watch Association, which has become a loyal branch of the Office of Homeland Security. Al leaves his patio door open at night, a breach of discipline the NWA considers tantamount to inviting Osama over for a kegger, so they send Granny Goosestep over for a chat with the offender. He ends up being fined $20 for "being disrespectful of citizens representing the authority of the State."
And I said, "I don't see that in the bylaws of the condo board." And it's not, but she says that we the Neighborhood Watch Association are now exercising extraordinary authority over and above the local condo board, of which she's also a member. It's interesting that all the members of the NWA are also members of the condo board.

Then she looks at me and says, "Why do you have to be different? Out of two thousand condo units, you are the only person here who leaves his gate open." And I said, "Because I want the gate OPEN."

Then she reminded me that her arm badge says the same thing as our triangular street sign -- This Neighborhood Watch Association is loyal to the Office of Homeland Security. Then she says to me, "Dissent will no longer be tolerated."

The minute she said that, I did what I've done before (it's cost me $120 already in fines) - I clicked my heels together and gave her the right-handed salute up in the air. And I put my left finger over the top of my lip in an attempt to imitate the toothbrush mustache.

It made her mad as hell, and she said you're going to get another $20 fine from the condo board. She was back here in five minutes with that fine in an envelope. It's all computer-generated. The fines I had gotten before were for being disrespectful to condo board members.

But now the ticket says that I was being fined $20 for being disrespectful of citizens representing the authority of the State. The language had changed on the notice. Before they used to use condo board association fine tickets, which were rather innocuous looking. Now I'm getting a ticket that's got a blazing state eagle on it, that blue imperial eagle and it says Neighborhood Watch Association, Office of Homeland Security.


posted by Steven Baum 8/21/2002 10:17:59 AM | link

THE FLOWER CHILDREN
Here's a good 'un. The low-level apparatchiks in the Cabal are spinning that today's WarFest at the Bush compound isn't a WarFest. Why? Because Colin Powell and Tommy Franks aren't going to be there, i.e. two of the "flower children" routinely denigrated as such by the Cabal's burgeoning contingent of chickenhawks. I can see Perle and Wolfowitz seated around the WarTable, pounding on their heavily thumbed, annotated ("How true!") and stained copies of von Clausewitz and Sun Tzu, angrily shrieking about how the cowardly military just doesn't understand them (while Bush sips his "sports drink", gnaws on a pretzel, and slowly nods off while counting the minutes until golf time).
posted by Steven Baum 8/21/2002 09:16:30 AM |
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Tuesday, August 20, 2002

DOG/GOD
Finishing in second place to no person on this planet in dog appreciation, I of course find the lower picture in the previous item a bit upsetting. Whether the dog was killed by the Evil of the Century of the Week or for propaganda purposes by the CIA or one of their bedfellows, I don't like to see, hear or even think of such things. But if you weep over the fate of a few dogs, consider the numbers in
the following excerpt from an organization that is routinely excoriated by the usual suspects for even considering that the routine torture and murder of animals for any research purpose might be a bad thing:
The U.S. military inflicts the pains of war on hundreds of thousands of animals each year in experiments. The Department of Defense (DOD) and the Veterans Administration (VA) together are the federal government's second largest user of animals (after the National Institutes of Health). They account for nearly half the estimated minimum of 1.6 million dogs, cats, guinea pigs, hamsters, rabbits, primates, rats, mice, and "wild animals" used, as reported to Congress in 1983, the last year for which government figures are available.(1) Because these figures don't include experiments that were contracted out to non-governmental laboratories, or the many sheep, goats, and pigs often shot in wound experiments, the actual total of animal victims is probably much higher.

The House Armed Services Committee voiced its concern "about the use of animals in medical and other defense-related research" in its report on the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 1995.(2) At committee hearings, DOD revealed that its use of animals in experiments has increased 36% in the past decade, but that it spent $180 million on research using 553,000 animals in the last fiscal year.

While we have videotape of evil evil evil blah blah fucking blah Osama or whoever killing a few dogs, the U.S. military spends $180 million to kill over half a million dogs, cats, etc. each and every goddamned year. Anyone who weeps for Osama's ostensible canine victims while rationalizing the military's dog holocaust as somehow vital for the survival of the pitiful, helpless giant in the big, mean, Islamofascist world has, to put it bluntly, their head so far up their ass that it's going to meet itself in some topological nightmare scenario that would give Escher the heebie-jeebies.

As for the mewling sycophants who might take umbrage at the above, I'll give you a bit of my present reality. As I type this, my 13 year old pup lies on the couch with an anal sac sarcoma that's now reached the size of a fucking softball. I give her more and more stool softeners with each meal, while watching her take more and more time and strain harder and harder to simply take a shit with each passing day. The inevitable is a matter of precious little time, which even the beer can no longer ameliorate.

The point? Don't waste my fucking time with bullshit about Osama apparently killing a few dogs testing his weaponry when your own military kills half a million animals per year for the same purposes. Oh yeah, I almost forgot: and try not to be such a godawful hypocrite the next time your knee does the St. Vitus dance upon encountering the four letters PETA. Torturing and killing animals for no good reason is bad thing, no matter whether or not those doing the torturing and killing pass your ideological purity test.
posted by Steven Baum 8/20/2002 07:13:14 PM | link

IF YOU DON'T BUY THIS WAR...
we'll kill this dog

poor doggie

posted by Steven Baum 8/20/2002 05:33:52 PM | link

CIA PAYS PERUVIAN THUG $10 MILLION
Vladimiro Montesinos - who did most of the dirty work for the Alberto Fujimori regime in Peru that counts the sterilization of 200,000 poor indians among its many proud achievements - was
well paid by the CIA for the efforts that now have him facing trial for murder, arms and drug trafficking, amongst other things. Looks like another triumph for the Holy War on Drugs, the older sibling and role model for the new, improved Forever War on Everything.
The Central Intelligence Agency gave ex-Peruvian spymaster Vladimiro Montesinos at least $10 million in cash over the last decade, as well as high-tech surveillance equipment that he used against his political opponents, the Center for Public Integrity has learned.

Montesinos, who now faces trial on murder, arms and drug trafficking charges, among others, had founded and personally controlled a counter-drug unit within Peru?s National Intelligence Service, known by its Spanish acronym SIN.

It was to that Narcotics Intelligence Division, known as DIN, that the CIA directed at least $10 million in cash payments from 1990 until September 2000, U.S. officials told the Center?s International Consortium of Investigative Journalists. Most of the money was to have financed intelligence activities in the drug war, though officials acknowledged a small part was for antiterrorist activities.
...
However, an intelligence official who asked not to be further identified confirmed that Montesinos had pocketed some, but not most, of the funds. He said that the CIA had been fully aware that Montesino was involved in corrupt deals and that the CIA had briefed the National Security Council, State Department and Pentagon about the alleged corruption. He said the agencies directed the CIA to continue to work with Montesinos because he was Peru?s designated chief of counternarcotics and the only game in town.
...


posted by Steven Baum 8/20/2002 11:04:08 AM | link

THEY JUST DON'T GET IT
Eric Ruguly writes about how Wall Street apparently just doesn't get it. The small investors always get it, and good and hard.
Jack Grubman's $32-million (U.S.) payoff was greeted by investors, especially the investors who took his so-called research seriously, with the sort of reaction normally associated with finding out that your grandfather is a cross-dresser: They were disgusted and amused at the same time.

They were disgusted because the Salomon Smith Barney analyst made a series of spectacular bad calls, such as advising clients to sell WorldCom (now in bankruptcy protection) only after the stock had gone from $60 to $1. They were amused because outlandish behaviour, such as paying off the investment community's bad boys, goes with the territory. And, in Mr. Grubman's case, why not? His value to Salomon in attracting investment banking fees clearly outweighed the embarrassment he brought to the company. You can go now, Jack, but we're really, really glad you were with us; the party wouldn't have been the same without you. So here's enough loot to buy a Caribbean archipelago.

The other amusing aspect of the exit package was that it showed what most investors already know -- that Wall Street isn't serious about cleaning up its act, research-wise. Mr. Grubman was the poster boy for conflict of interest on Wall Street -- the analyst who dabbled in deal making in the way that Donald Trump dabbled in real estate. Salomon obviously knew, and approved of, his dual role for many years, yet did nothing to discourage it. And when Salomon, under pressure from prying regulators and angry investors, finally had to swing into action, it took the form of handing its former superstar analyst another winning lottery ticket.
...


posted by Steven Baum 8/20/2002 10:54:53 AM | link

REFUTED AGAIN
The intellectual titans of the blog collective have reached into their mathematical toolkit and found a sibling for their "you're anonymous, thus I refute thee!" proof of refutation, i.e. "you called someone a name, thus I refute thee!". A less generous person than I would see this as intellectual laziness or cowardice rather than the steely-eyed, clean-limbed, wholesome use of the mathematical machinery developed solving static beam problems to prove the insidiousness and incorrectness (over the entirety of space-time if you perform the elliptic integral properly) of those who would sully the Purity Of Essence of the blogosphere via the use of epithets. Now some will whine that this particular form of refutation lost both its novelty and usefulness the second time it was invoked on Usenet back in 1993 (in response to a sixty-page attempted refutation containing enough footnotes to turn the bones of Robert Burton green with envy that refuted itself and vanished in a puff of logic by ending with "Geez, what a tool"), but really clever people will see it as a Goedelian proof of the incompleteness and therefore incorrectness of the arguments of all who stray from the shining path of pure reason.

As for me, I must now clear my shelves of the works of those who've sullied the entirety of their output (and egregiously defiled the gods of logical purity) by resorting to cowardly, self-refuting invective. It's just as well, seeing how my Twain, Mencken and other collections were getting in the way of shelving another dozen copies of "Slander", not to mention as many more Rand tomes as I can lay my hands on.
posted by Steven Baum 8/20/2002 09:42:44 AM |
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Monday, August 19, 2002

WHAT HE SAID
A new blog called
Economics and Similar, for the Sleep Deprived is a corking good read. The following bit about the usefulness of the IMF and WTO is typical of the meaty morsels to be found therein.
I really don't understand what the "antiglobalisation left" don't understand. Countries like China (which only joined the WTO two years ago) and India (which has numerous tariff protections and a huge state sector) are "globalisers". Countries like Nigeria (IMF programs in place for years) and Bangladesh (enthusiastic WTO client) are not "globalisers" and thus have no hope of developing along the lines of South Korea (massive infant-industry protection and government-led industrial policy in its development period) or Malaysia (capital controls). Therefore, in order to help the third world develop, we must insist that they ignore the development strategies of the only third world countries to have actually developed, and put themselves in the hands of Those Wonderful People Who Brought You Argentina.
Another tidbit:
The American consumer is pretty much all that's holding up the entire world economy at the moment. This is because final demand has to come from investment or consumption, and nobody appears to be in the mood to invest. Meanwhile, the Japanese don't care to (deflation and recession), the Europeans don't dare to (an ECB more worried about credibility than sensible anticyclical monetary policy), so mad dogs and Americans have to go down to the shopping mall.

posted by Steven Baum 8/19/2002 05:44:39 PM | link

THE S&L FRAUD: THE DETAILS
There seems to be at least an implied myth about the S&L scandals of the 80s, i.e. if you read just about anything written about it, you get the feeling that the hundreds of billions of dollars the taxpayers are now having to pay to bail out all the S&L depositors just vanished, with nobody knowing where it went. It didn't vanish. It was systematically stolen and either immediately spent, laundered or stashed in offshore bank accounts. The best summary I've yet encountered of the basic mechanics of what happened is in the epilogue of Pete Brewton's The Mafia, CIA and George Bush, wherein he names the names of those involved. To give you an idea of which Texas politicians were involved up to their eyeteeth, Brewton states in the introduction that if the Democrats had won in 1988, the book would have been entitled "The Mafia, the CIA and Lloyd Bentsen." This excerpt names not a single name, but gives an excellent introduction to the basic mechanics of the S&L crimes.
...
When savings and loans started dropping like flies beginning in 1985, and it became apparent that these were not random occurrences but something systematic, those who owned the failed S&Ls trotted out an economic explanation: A falling real estate market triggered by economic factors, such as dropping oil prices, did them in. This explanation seemed to satisfy many people as long as most of the failures were concentrated in Texas, but it soon lost all credibility as S&Ls in Florida, California, Kansas, Illinois, Pennsylvania and New York also began to topple.

After that, the big lie the S&L owners put forward was that the losses were the result of bad business deals, that they were simply exercising their legitimate business judgments and just guessed wrong. Although any detailed investigations of these "bad business deals" usually revealed business relationships and interconnections between the lenders and the borrowers, as well as criminality in the form of fraudulent, falsified, or non-existent loan documents, those who were charged with S&L crimes continued to use the above excuse at their criminal trials. This kind of business rationalization leads us to the single most important document in the looting of America's savings and loans, and a major protective layer for those who were responsible: the little old innocuous appraisal report.

Every time a savings and loan lends money with a piece of property as security (collateral), it must obtain an appraisal of the property. This appraisal, by the way, is not a public document. The appraisal is an estimate, based on certain time-honored techniques, by a professional appraiser of the fair market value of the property. "Fair market value" is an elastic hole big enough to drive an armored truck through. And that's exactly what happened. It worked like this:

A savings and loan would obtain an inflated appraisal of the property, in cahoots with the borrower and sometimes the property owner. The S&L would pay the appraiser a fee of $5000 for a job whose standard fee might be $1000. The borrower might then pay off any prior liens on the property, pocket the remaining money and walk off, leaving the S&L to foreclose on the property. If any questions were raised, the appraiser would simply swear that the inflated value was his best professional estimate at the time.

This is a very simplified version of the basic S&L scam: lending more money than the property is worth. The complications arise when the S&L and the borrower engage in various gyrations to jack up, muddle or hide the value of the property.

One of the most popular ways was through acquisition, development and construction loans (called ADC loans), in which the borrower would buy a piece of vacant land with grandiose plans for development. The S&L would lend the money to buy the land and also the money for the development and construction. The borrower would make a few "cosmetic" plans and maybe do a little construction and then walk off with the rest of the money. The S&L was left the vacant land worth far less than the amount borrowed against it, but the S&L owner was happy because had collected big up-front fees from the loan (via loan-origination fees, etc.), and, if need be, he could later sell the property to another crooked S&L for a profit. The original land owner was happy because he had gotten more than his land was worth, and the borrower was happy because he had gotten the development money. And if, by unlikely chance, the government came after the borrower, he could put the money in an offshore trust for his children and declare bankruptcy. Such a "bad" business deal was "good" for everybody except the American taxpayers, who guaranteed the S&L's deposits.
...


posted by Steven Baum 8/19/2002 02:40:59 PM |
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RIGGED $250 MILLION WAR GAME
A recently retired general
tells how a quarter billion dollar war game was rigged by the U.S. military.
A retired general who commanded "enemy" forces in a recently concluded $250 million U.S. war game says the exercise was rigged so that it appeared to validate new war-fighting concepts it was supposed to test.

Paul Van Riper, who headed the Marine Corps Combat Development Command when he retired in 1997 as a three-star general, said he became so frustrated with undue constraints on his command of "enemy" forces that he quit the role midway through Millennium Challenge 2002, which ended Aug. 15.

His complaints were reported Friday by the Army Times, a private newspaper that covers Army issues. The Times obtained a copy of an e-mail Van Riper sent to colleagues explaining why he had quit.

"It was in actuality an exercise that was almost entirely scripted to ensure a Blue (friendly forces) 'win,'" he wrote. Van Riper was in command of the Red force, meant to simulate the enemy.
...
Van Riper said exercise officials denied him the opportunity to use his own tactics and ideas against the Blue, or friendly, forces, and on several occasions the Red forces were directed not to use certain weapons against Blue.

Robert Oakley, a retired ambassador who played the role of civilian leader of the Red force, told the Times that Van Riper was outthinking the Blue force. He said, for example, that in the computer simulations, Van Riper used motorcycle messengers to transmit orders, negating the Blue forces' high-tech eavesdropping capabilities. When the Blue naval forces sailed into the Persian Gulf early in the experiment, Van Riper's forces surrounded the ships with small boats and planes.

Much of the Blue force's ships ended up at the bottom of the ocean. Oakley said Joint Forces Command officials had to stop the exercise and "refloat" the fleet in order to continue.
...


posted by Steven Baum 8/19/2002 10:57:52 AM | link

ANYONE FEEL A DRAFT COMING ON?
Despite the exponentially growing number of saber-rattling chickenhawks willing to shed the blood of others at the drop of a hat, the
LATimes reports that few if any of them are willing to let their asses cash the checks written by their mouths. Looks like it's about time for Jeb to get his son a place in the National Guard.
Despite a threefold increase in advertising in recent years, efforts by the U.S. military to bolster its recruitment ranks are bearing little fruit, a study released yesterday says.

The desire by high-school graduates to pursue college is thwarting the military's ability to attract the youths it needs to increase or even maintain its ranks, says the report by the National Research Council, a nonprofit think tank.

A highflying economy through much of the 1990s may explain some of the lack of interest, the report says. But as the economy sputters and patriotism surges after the Sept. 11 attacks, there has been no corresponding uptick in military enlistment.

"Even with the instability in the economy and the loss of civilian jobs in many sectors in 2000-2001, interest in the military has not increased," according to the report, which was commissioned by the Department of Defense.
...


posted by Steven Baum 8/19/2002 10:51:08 AM | link

DRUG WAR ALLIANCE WITH PUSHERS
The
Washington Times tells of a Cato Institute report describing new Colombian president Uribe's links to the drug trade. Unlike the current Cabal faction supervising the western hemisphere at State, Cato seems able to call a spade a spade without first checking for ideological correctness or political expedience. Looks like the liberals have taken over these formerly venerable conservative institutions.
The United States should resist cooperating in the drug war with new Colombian President Alvaro Uribe, because he has been linked to terrorist paramilitary groups and to individuals involved with the drug trade, says a new report by a Washington, D.C. think tank.

Instead, the United States should learn from past mistakes, when it financially supported dubious third-world regimes -- some with terrorist links -- in the fight against drugs, only to realize later that these partners were themselves involved in the drug trade, says, "Unsavory Bedfellows: Washington's International Partners in the War on Drugs," published by the libertarian Cato Institute.

The report also says the United States should reconsider its drug prohibition laws, which it says have been proven "futile and harmful" time after time.

"U.S. leaders have repeatedly worked with regimes that they have otherwise treated as pariahs, including Peru's authoritarian President Alberto Fujimori, the Burmese military junta, Cuban dictator Fidel Castro, and Panamanian strongman Manuel Noriega ... and the most shocking example ... Afghanistan's infamous Taliban government," said Ted Carpenter, Cato vice president for Defense and Foreign Policy Studies and author of the report.
...


posted by Steven Baum 8/19/2002 10:43:02 AM | link

FORT BRAGG AND LARIAM
A
United Press article (via What Really Happened) posits a connection between the recent Fort Bragg murders and an anti-malaria drug called Lariam.
...
Soldiers at Fort Bragg said they are well aware of mental problems linked to the anti-malaria drug Lariam, which include aggression, depression, paranoia, hallucinations and suicidal thinking, even as official military spokesmen dismiss a connection between the drug and the events around Fayetteville this summer which have drawn national attention.
...

posted by Steven Baum 8/19/2002 10:35:50 AM | link

THE ANTI-ANTISMOKING CAMPAIGN
Barbara Ostrov reports on tobacco company machinations to reduce the advertising and availability of products to help consumers quit smoking.
Cigarette makers pressed drug companies to tone down their public campaigns for nicotine patches and other smoking cessation aids in the 1980s and 1990s. The drug firms agreed because they feared losing lucrative sales of agricultural chemicals to tobacco companies, according to industry documents and Bay Area researchers.

In one case, Philip Morris canceled large orders of chemicals from a sister company of the maker of Nicorette gum, resuming only after the gum manufacturer significantly weakened its anti-smoking marketing materials, according to Philip Morris documents.

In another case, the parent company of a tobacco manufacturer also owned a firm that made nicotine gum, putting the conglomerate in the conflicting position of selling both habit-forming tobacco products as well as products to break that habit.

These cases and a third, all dating from the mid-1980s to mid-1990s, are detailed in a report by University of California-San Francisco researchers Lisa Bero and Bhavna Shamasunder in this week's Journal of the American Medical Association. The companies named in the report downplayed its findings, but the researchers and anti-smoking advocates said the study points to troubling links between drug and tobacco firms.
...


posted by Steven Baum 8/19/2002 10:29:15 AM | link

SPOOKS SIMULATING 9/11 ON 9/11
The
Memory Hole has found another gem. This one's a passage from promotional literature explaining how a CIA team was simulating 9/11 on 9/11. Yep, there's just no way the spooks could have anticipated anything like 9/11. Well, at least not with the paltry hundreds of billions at their disposal.
On the morning of September 11th 2001, Mr. Fulton and his team at the CIA were running a pre-planned simulation to explore the emergency response issues that would be created if a plane were to strike a building. Little did they know that the scenario would come true in a dramatic way that day. Information is the most powerful tool available in the homeland security effort. At the core of every initiative currently underway to protect our country and its citizens is the challenge of getting the right information to the right people at the right time. How can so much information from around the world be captured and processed in meaningful and timely ways? Mr. Fulton shares his insights into the intelligence community, and shares a vision of how today's information systems will be developed into even better counter-terrorism tools of tomorrow.

posted by Steven Baum 8/19/2002 10:23:42 AM | link

QUOTE OF THE DAY
"Trotsky was right - you must be ruthless."

Fellow traveler Ann Coulter on CNN Crossfire on 1/15/02 (via What Really Happened)


posted by Steven Baum 8/19/2002 10:13:47 AM | link

GOING DOWN ON DOW JONES
The
New York Post tells of Dow Jones executives using corporate credit cards to frequent strip clubs. These are undoubtedly the same folks who ponder - over six martini lunches - the fundamental moral weaknesses of the poor that keep them from becoming rich.
A former Barron's magazine ad salesman is claiming senior Dow Jones executives forced him to use company money to pay for lap dances for his colleagues at New York strip joints.

Patrick S. Allocco, who worked for the buttoned-down Dow Jones financial weekly from 1992 to January 2001, said in a lawsuit filed in federal court that he was forced to embark on an "expense report scheme" that covered up theater tickets and trips to strip clubs, and on one occasion, procure borrowed cars for Dow Jones CEO and Editorial Director Peter Kann and Barron's Editor and President Edwin Finn Jr.
...
Allocco claims he was regularly told by his superiors to use his corporate credit card to pay for strippers and lap dances at clubs such as Scores, Stringfellow's, and Billy's Topless for Barron's marketing department personnel.
...


posted by Steven Baum 8/19/2002 10:08:30 AM | link

RISKY BUSINESS
The
Financial Times describes how the big investment banks, after months of revelations about risky financial gambles and outright shenanigans, are taking more risks. This risk thingie is measured by something called a VAR.
...
Value at risk (VAR), which estimates the maximum amount a bank would stand to lose in a particular period under certain assumptions.
...
The Goldman Sachs VAR rose from $49 to $51 million, Morgan Stanley's from $41 to $66 million, Merrill's from $56 to $62 million. The champ, though, is Citigroup, from $10 to $64 million. There is some good news, however. Drunken riverboat gambler JP Morgan Chase decreased its VAR from $148 to $110 million.

Given how such things are usually done, you can probably assume that the true VAR amounts are at least an order of magnitude larger than the official amounts. So why are many of the big banks increasing the probability of a taxpayer bailout? It's enough to break your heart.

...
In the wake of stock market weakness, investment banks have suffered from a drought in lucrative equity underwriting and mergers and aquisitions activity, forcing them to rely on lower-margin businesses.
...
They're having trouble living with the realization that a 20% annual ROR isn't Constitutionally guaranteed.

And if that weren't enough, Standard and Poors (which I've always thought a really great name given what they do) is threatening to downgrade their official ratings for Morgan, Merrill Lynch, and Morgan Stanley which, among other things, would lead to higher borrowing costs for the banks, although they'll never have to pay anything close to the 20% or higher rates their credit card victims pay.
posted by Steven Baum 8/19/2002 09:36:58 AM | link


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