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Observations (and occasional brash opining) on science, computers, books, music and other shiny things that catch my mind's eye. There's a home page with ostensibly more permanent stuff. This is intended to be more functional than decorative. I neither intend nor want to surf on the bleeding edge, keep it real, redefine journalism or attract nyphomaniacal groupies (well, maybe a wee bit of the latter). The occasional cheap laugh, raised eyebrow or provocation of interest are all I'll plead guilty to in the matter of intent. Bene qui latuit bene vixit.

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Friday, July 26, 2002

MORE FROM BUFFET
"The ability to monetize shareholder ignorance has probably never been exceeded. If investor expectations become more realistic the market adjustment is apt to be severe, particularly in sectors where speculation has been concentrated."

Warren Buffet, Spring 2000


posted by Steven Baum 7/26/2002 01:26:27 PM |
link

VOLVELLES
"Wired" occasionally proves it's not moribund by dredging up a tasty truffle. In the July 2002 issue (p. 68), they tell about Jessica Helfand's
Reinventing the Wheel, a marvelous, marvelous (yep, it's worth at least two) book about information wheels or volvelles (sometimes spelled voluelles). Volvelles are those paper (or plastic) wheels you've encountered that allow you to calculate or find various things, e.g. biorhythms, first-aid tips, astronomical positions, by spinning a dial. While I can't find any sites specializing in volvelles, Paper Plate Education includes some pertinent information and links.

That we even have to test for the moribundity of "Wired" each month is due to their endless techno-stock hyper-hyping, their large monthly "toys for boys" sections that come off as not much more than Maxim without the tits, and their apparent contractual obligation to write at least one worshipful profile of George Gilder per year, with this year's model also appearing in this issue. Gilder is perhaps known best among those who aren't techno-droids as the author of Wealth and Poverty, a paean to Reagan-era trickle-down economics that still inspires tumescent approbation amongst a certain crowd. The most entertaining, and perhaps unwittingly correct, quotation from Gilder in the article is one he uttered about Global Crossing a few years ago, "It will change the world economy."
posted by Steven Baum 7/26/2002 11:20:20 AM | link

"IRRESPONSIBLE" RUSHKOF
Douglas Rushkof (via Cursor) tells how the New York Times didn't want him spreading bad mojo about the bubble when AOL bought Time Warner.
When AOL bought Time Warner, the New York Times asked me to write a comment piece. "What does it all mean?" my assigning editor asked.

What I wrote was that AOL's purchase of Time Warner heralded the end of the dotcom bubble. AOL was cashing in its casino chips. And just like the gambler who trades in his coloured plastic disks for real cash, AOL's Steve Case understood that his run was over and that it was time to trade in his stock certificates for those of a company that had genuine assets.

The New York Times refused to run the piece. They told me I was misreading the landscape to such an extent that for them to publish such a view would be irresponsible. See, all the experts - at least all the experts the Times was listening to - believed that the AOL purchase of Time Warner indicated "new" media's domination of "old" media. Interactivity would take over. Time Warner's only hope of getting in the game was to be absorbed by a new media company.

Of course, what was really happening was that Time Warner, after having failed in its many efforts to establish a profitable foothold on the internet, decided they had to get "interactive" by any means necessary. Meanwhile, its share price had been driven down, at least in comparison with all those Nasdaq tech stocks, by Wall Street's focus on the dotcom universe.

Meanwhile, AOL, a company with few tangible assets other than a subscriber base whose growth had already begun to slow down, understood that the pyramid scheme on which its fortunes were made had run its course. (A recent Washington Post report suggests revenue-enhancing deals.) They needed to use their absurdly and temporarily inflated stock price to buy something real. No - they didn't go buy another fake internet company. They bought a company with real, calculable assets such as a cable network, a film library, a host of magazines, and television stations.
...


posted by Steven Baum 7/26/2002 10:45:09 AM | link

SIGNS OF AN OFFICIAL SCANDAL
Norman Solomon lists the signs of an "official scandal" he enumerated a decade or so ago. An "official scandal" is one where the official media asks a lot of questions but somehow always manages to avoid asking certain key ones. Basically, nothing happens and they move on to the next shiny thing.
  • The scandal comes to light much later than it could have to prevent serious harm.
  • The focus is on scapegoats and fall guys, as though remedial action amounts to handing the public a few heads on a platter.
  • Damage control keeps the media barking but at bay. The press is so busy chewing on scraps near the outer perimeter that it stays away from the chicken house.
  • Sources on the inside supply tidbits of information to steer reporters in certain directions -- and away from others. With the media dashing through the woods, these sources keep pointing: 'The scandal went that-a-way!
  • The spotlight is on outraged officials ... asking tough questions. (But not too tough.) As time passes, politicians and/or the judicial system take the lead in guiding media coverage.
  • Despite all the hand-wringing, the press avoids basic questions that challenge institutional power and not just a few powerful individuals.

posted by Steven Baum 7/26/2002 10:35:19 AM | link

HEDGE FUNDS HEDGING
The
Economist tells how hedge funds and their hyperarrogant managers are enjoying the consequences of hubris. Hedge funds are investment funds that are supposed to protect the investor even during stock market downturns, or so it was claimed by those who run them and who are now giving up in droves. Ever noticed how often financial schemes ostensibly proved to be guaranteed money makers when markets are monotonically increasing crash and burn when the slope reverses?
A YEAR ago hedge-fund managers were hailed as the new masters of the universe. One even made a cameo appearance in "Sex and the City", a New York television series, as an over-confident suitor. (He got the girl, of course.) Hedge-fund managers once talked about a "special skill-set" that distinguished them from mere fund managers. They promised "absolute returns irrespective of market directions". They put big chunks of their own money into their funds and, as well as annual management fees, took a reward of some 20%-and sometimes as much as 50%-of any gains made for clients.

Today, many hedge funds are performing poorly, and plenty are losing money. Managers now speak as if they are running a widow's fund: they stress the preservation of capital rather than outperformance. Most funds have parked more than a third of the assets they manage in cash instruments, and they have reduced their leverage (that is, the amount they have borrowed to speculate). Funds now admit that falling stockmarkets are proving unexpectedly painful.

An increasing number of hedge-fund managers are giving up. Earlier this month, Bayard Partners in London decided to shut down and hand back the money they were managing. In a letter to investors, the firm described today's markets as a toxic mixture of overvaluation, unrealistic expectations and sentiment-driven volatility. Those are conditions, you would think, in which hedge funds might be expected to thrive-but part of the problem, says Bayard, was a huge increase in European hedge funds in recent years, all seeking absolute returns to justify their fees. The amount of money under hedge-fund management in Europe has risen more than fourfold in the past three years.
...


posted by Steven Baum 7/26/2002 10:16:30 AM | link

BANKRUPTCY LAWS TOUGHENED...FOR CONSUMERS
While the bankruptcy laws for corporations allow them to keep borrowing money until the sheer mass of increasingly worthless commercial paper creates its own black hole, Congress is
set to pass legislation backed (and probably written) by the credit card industry that will make it much harder for individual consumers to use bankruptcy as an escape mechanism. It will of course be tougher on poor debtors than rich ones. The rich are indeed different from the rest of us, if only because they can afford to buy favorable legislation.
Senate and House negotiators last night cleared the way for final passage of an industry-backed bill to overhaul bankruptcy law by making it harder for consumers to wipe out debt, congressional sources said.

The House could vote on the legislation, which would be the biggest change in bankruptcy law in 25 years, as soon as today, and the Senate as soon as next week. It would then go to President Bush, who has indicated that he will sign it.

The proposed law is promoted by the credit-card industry, which says it is needed to close loopholes that make it too easy for people to wipe out their debts when they could repay some of them.

Consumer advocates say the bill would allow some rich debtors to continue to hide wealth in their homes while bankruptcy relief would be denied to many people with low or moderate incomes who have fallen on hard times because of illness, job loss or divorce. Credit-card companies, with their aggressive marketing, must share the blame, they say.
...


posted by Steven Baum 7/26/2002 10:05:22 AM | link

WEAPONS OF MASS DISTRACTION
In a
piece (via DrMike) wherein he coins (or at least repeats) the above phrase, Christopher Hitchens wonders who's been chosen by the Cabal to be their puppet in Iraq. As always with the Bush clan, the Kurds will almost inevitably be sacrified on the altar of political expediency. For example, expect Ari Fleischer and the other lying heads to switch - on the day Fujimori (or whoever) takes over in Iraq - from "evil Saddam gassed the poor Kurds" to "we've found links between the Iraqi Kurds and Al-Qaeda". In the spirit of Hitchens' coinage, we'll call this the Chechen Gambit.
...
The Kurdish leadership, for example, recently went public with a series of misgivings.

THEY live within the range of Saddam Hussein's planes, helicopters and tanks, and have vivid memories of what these can do.

They have also, in the past, been given Western promises and assurances that turned out to be false. They are not inclined to risk their existing partial independence, or their fighting men, for a new Baghdad regime which does not explicitly recognise Kurdish rights.

And, given the repression of the Kurds in neighbouring Turkey, they are not completely happy about the increased weight given to the Turkish army by current planning, either. Meanwhile, the largest democratic opposition group in Iraq, the Iraqi National Congress, has been effectively frozen out of discussions in Washington.

There is even a standing order that no United States government employee is allowed to meet with INC representatives.

At a recent gathering in Washington, where many foreign-policy and national-security types were present, I tried to introduce some INC members informally. The effect was that of Moses on the Red Sea. It was like trying to get them to press flesh with Osama bin Laden.

This is bizarre, and it is bound to raise a suspicion.

Does the Bush administration already have a bought-and-paid-for client, presumably a military man since coups are what the US does best? And if so, what has he been promised? And what will he promise in return?
...


posted by Steven Baum 7/26/2002 09:23:34 AM | link

Thursday, July 25, 2002

DIPPING
Although $41 billion in debt and down to its last $200 million in cash, WorldCom still managed to get a new credit line of $2 billion from some of the usual suspects, i.e. Citibank, Morgan and GE Capital. Huh? How stupid are these banks? Not as stupid as you might think, given a bit of
1978 legislation. Isn't it nice to know that no matter what the economic situation is, the profligate lenders - who if they didn't start the fire then didn't bother to throw any water on it either - somehow happen to have an almost guaranteed profit-making mechanism in place?
...
The reason for this is a 1978 reform of the bankruptcy code that allows banks to provide incredibly low-risk loans to so-called "debtor-in-possession" bankrupt companies. Even banks burned by a company before its bankruptcy eagerly extend credit to the company once it's in Chapter 11. J.P. Morgan and Citibank, which are leading WorldCom's DIP financing, are the company's largest and third-largest unsecured creditors, respectively. While many areas of Wall Street are down - from underwriting initial public offerings to mergers and acquisitions - DIP is hot. The amount of such credit extended through large syndicated loans doubled between 2000 and 2001 to about $8.3 billion and could double again this year.

Once a Chapter 11 filing is made, the failed company stops making debt payments, and its creditors divide into groups, creating a caste system of forlorn financial institutions and tradespeople. The Brahmins here are the secured borrowers - those whose obligations are secured by a claim on some of the company's assets. Unsecured creditors, whose debts are secured only by the borrower's promise to pay, are far less likely to collect. Trade creditors - caterers, construction crews, interior decorators, telephone companies (WorldCom owes Verizon $125 million) - are at the bottom of the pecking order. So are employees and former employees who are owed wages and benefits. It's a tiny measure of justice that former WorldCom CEO Bernard Ebbers will have to join the queue if he wants to collect his $1.5 million annual lifetime pension.

The theory of Chapter 11, in which companies continue to operate instead of liquidating, is that by regrouping and restructuring debt, they might return to health and repay creditors over time. During Chapter 11, creditors also frequently convert their debt stakes into equity, which they can sell down the road. But in the 1970s, it became apparent that companies in bankruptcy needed access to cash to run their businesses. The problem: Nobody would lend to such companies at reasonable terms. The solution was the 1978 bill authorizing debtor-in-possession financing.

Under the law, DIP lenders essentially show up at the party after it has already started and jump to the front of the line. The last to lend, they are the first to collect. And DIP lenders enjoy enormous protections. Once they lend, a federal court order provides they receive absolute first priority of payment. What's more, DIP loans are typically secured by the very best assets a company has. In WorldCom's instance, the loans are backed by real estate and accounts receivable - bills it has yet to collect - not by its network of rapidly depreciating fiber-optic cable. Because the loans are secured to the max, DIP borrowers don't have to pay usurious rates.
...


posted by Steven Baum 7/25/2002 02:35:05 PM | link

SAUDI INVASION WATCH
The
Financial Times supplies a good reason to start up a Saudi Arabia invasion pool.
A deal that would open a new era of international oil group activity in Saudi Arabia, worth $25bn (£16bn), was on the verge of collapse on Wednesday, according to company officials close to the negotiations.

Talks due to end next week have failed to secure the companies' access to part of the kingdom's 224,000bn cubic ft of upstream gas reserves. They say they need this direct access to achieve a viable annual rate of return - of 16-18 per cent over 30 years - on the petrochemical plants, power stations and desalination plants they would build as part of the deal.

The alternative, to buy gas from state-owned Saudi Aramco, could adversely affect this rate of return, as Saudi Aramco would control supplies and pricing.

Saudi Arabia has refused to allow the companies access to the reserves, and government officials say that the deal - called the Saudi Gas Initiative (SGI) - must be completed by July 31. This now seems highly unlikely, though the companies are willing to continue negotiations.
...

By far the best part is this next bit about why the companies refuse to take the Saudi option.
...
"Neither side wants to see the talks fail. However, the companies will not break ranks. They are not charities. They have to answer to their shareholders; and any deal has to be seen to be a good risk," a western analyst said on Wednesday.
...
I hope Ken Lay reads the FT, because if he reads this he just might die laughing.
posted by Steven Baum 7/25/2002 02:13:23 PM | link

DEAD CAT BOUNCES
I learned a new phrase today in reference to yesterday's market "recovery". So what is such a beast? A
Red Herring article from 1999 explains.
Dead-cat bounces following sharp selloffs have been a staple of Wall Street ever since traders learned they could make a buck by shuffling paper. But these days, with massive amounts of cash flooding the Street and with a convergence of fundamental factors having an impact on share prices, it's tough to tell whether the cat's just bouncing or has found a new life.

posted by Steven Baum 7/25/2002 02:05:22 PM | link

CRAZY GOLDBUGS
Those crazy goldbugs are at it again, starting
further scurrilous rumors about banks playing with gold to try to save their asses from years of financial shenanigans.
Many here today have asked for any kind of confirmation as to where the heavy selling in Gold initiated. OK. About 1:30 PM, while speaking with my commodity broker about the large drawdown in POG and POS, he chirps up, under no prompting on my part, 'OK, Steve, you know where all the commotion in the markets started from today? It was due to JP Morgan shorting Gold to protect the banks.' I said 'How can you KNOW who was putting on the fresh Gold shorts." And he replied that amongst the pros nothing stays secret for long and the entity who enters a massive long or short position is soon known by the traders in the pits ( and thus the brokerage houses ) . So I continued to ask him, 'Were they lightening up a long position?' and you could almost hear him jumping off his seat. 'Oh no, they were already short, they just went more short to protect their interests.' At which point we both agreed that this strategy only work in the short term. His words, 'This type of action NEVER works in the long run.' In other words it WILL blow up in their face.

posted by Steven Baum 7/25/2002 10:47:51 AM | link

EAT PIZZA, GET BUSTED
Being too impatient to wait for the official start-up of the U.S. Stasi, many vigilant citizens have rolled up their sleeves and
taken it on themselves to preserve your precious freedoms.
...
The saga began with a misguided fit of patriotism mere weeks after the World Trade Center and Pentagon attacks, when a corporate employee handed over the records-almost literally, the grocery lists-to federal investigators from three agencies that had never even requested them. In a flash, the most quotidian of exchanges became fodder for the Patriot Act.

When the company's legal counsel discovered the breach, she turned for advice to Larry Ponemon, CEO of the consulting firm Privacy Council and a former business ethics professor at Babson College and SUNY. "I told her it's better to be transparent," Ponemon recalls. "Send a notice to loyalty cardholders telling them what happened. She agreed and presented that to the board but they said, 'No, we don't want to hand a smoking gun to litigators.' " The attorney, who has since resigned from the grocery chain, declined through Ponemon to be interviewed or to identify herself or her former employer. To this day, the customers haven't been informed. ...

The article didn't say what happened to Citizen Snitch, although he'll probably get some sort of civilian medal of honor from the Fatherland Security Agency.

There is an upside, though. Citizen Snitch and his dutiful comrades have allowed the feds to rate almost everybody on a "terrorism scale."

...
"I can't reveal my source, but a federal agency involved in espionage actually did a rating system of almost every citizen in this country," Ponemon claims. "It was based on all sorts of information-public sources, private sources. If people are not opted in"-meaning they haven't chosen to participate-"one can generally assume that information was gathered through an illegal system."

After crunching those numbers through the algorithm, he says, its creators fed in the files of the 9-11 terrorists as a test. "The model showed 89.7 percent accuracy 'predicting' these people from rest of population," Ponemon reports.

Oddly enough, "one of the factors was if you were a person who frequently ordered pizza and paid with a credit card," Ponemon says, describing the buying habits of a nation of college students. "Sometimes data leads to an empirical inference when you add it to other variables. Whether this one is relevant or completely spurious remains to be seen, but those kinds of weird things happen with data."

At this rate, it won't be long before the spooks can predict thoughtcrime and send the troops out to stop it before it happens. Sounds almost like some cheap sciffy flick, that.
posted by Steven Baum 7/25/2002 10:04:03 AM | link

THE CANVAS IS THE MESSAGE
Rumor has it that Dubya once snuck in a "No Fat Chicks"
message canvas which almost made it on the air. Although they yanked it just in time, Cokie is reported to have gotten a peek and just tittered with glee at the delightful, wholesome, un-blowjobish antics of her new, improved commander in chief. Oh, that endearing air-headed frat boy and his zany cohorts.
Much of the time, the Bush administration seems to hinge on a simple motto.

The exact phrasing changes from week to week - and crisis to crisis. Last Monday, as President Bush addressed economic woes on Wall Street, it was ''Strengthening Our Economy,'' a phrase that had been printed repeatedly on a canvas draped across the stage behind his head.

By the time Bush gave a speech on homeland security in Illinois yesterday, the three-word mantra had been switched to ''Protecting the Homeland,'' again emblazoned across the presidential backdrop. As many as 20 similar logos are in storage at the White House communications shop - everything from ''Strengthening Medicare'' to ''Corporate Responsibility'' to ''Working Toward Independence.''

More are on the way, providing steady work for the former television producer now in charge of wallpapering Bush events.
...


posted by Steven Baum 7/25/2002 09:55:14 AM | link

Wednesday, July 24, 2002

FUJIMORO'S STERILIZATION INITIATIVE
The
BBC tells how over 200,000 rural Peruvians were sterilized under the regime of former President Alberto Fujimoro. Fujimoro is still regularly referred to by the usual suspects as an option preferable to all the evil leftist/commies/etc. preparing to turn South America into a living hell by, for example, increasing medical aid to the poor instead of sterilizing them.
More than 200,000 people in rural Peru were pressured into being sterilised by the government of former President Alberto Fujimori, an official report has revealed.

The Health Minister, Fernando Carbone, said the government gave misleading information, offered food incentives and threatened to fine men and women if they had more children.

Poor indigenous people in rural areas were the main targets of the compulsive family planning programme until 2000, when Mr Fujimori left for Japan amid mounting corruption allegations against him.
...


posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 03:56:05 PM | link

SIMON SEZ, "GO!"
California GOP gubernatorial candidate Bill Simon, under fire for not releasing his tax returns like his opponent, showed yesterday how much he respects those he desires to serve by
releasing his tax returns in about the most contemptuous manner conceivable. Simon, a creature and worshipper of corporate America, correctly divined the need of California voters to witness the sort of display of financial openness and integrity they weren't getting from the corporations whose financial frauds were gutting their pension plans. Showing that there were no hard feelings on his end, Simon refrained from urinating on those attempting to read his tax encyclopedia in the microsecond allotted.
His ludicrous ground rules all but guaranteed that nothing would come of the late-afternoon effort but frustration and a serious headache. Among the restrictions:
  • No copies of the two-volume collection of tax returns spanning 1990 to 2000 could leave the room.
  • No cameras or other recording devices were allowed.
  • Only campaign-provided pads could be used for note taking.
Best of all, only two hours were provided to wade through page after page of the most eye-glazing, mind-numbing documents imaginable.
It's of course their own fault that those nosey goddamned liberals didn't have the foresight to bring a squadron of speed-reading forensic accountants with them.
posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 02:12:22 PM | link

FREE TO CHOOSE, MAYBE
The
Miami Herald tells of another upcoming opportunity for the "They Hate Us for Our Freedoms" administration to restrict the freedom of its citizenry.
For a third consecutive year, legislators Tuesday night voted to ease a sweeping ban on U.S. citizen travel to Cuba -- setting the stage for a possible veto showdown with President Bush.

The House voted 262-167 to block the Treasury Department from enforcing travel restrictions and issuing fines to U.S. citizens who travel illegally to Cuba.

The vote underscored the increasingly bitter stalemate between the White House and Congress over the direction of U.S. policy toward Cuba. A growing bipartisan tide of legislators appears in favor of easing a four-decade-old embargo that has failed to dislodge Cuban leader Fidel Castro from power. Castro has ruled the island for 43 years.

''This policy has not worked,'' said Rep. George Nethercutt, a Republican from Washington. ``Castro has not yielded to the embargo that has existed all these years.''
...

If Congress is smart, they'll wait until after the November elections to put this before the emperor, seeing how his brother is up for re-election in Florida, i.e. psychotic Cuban expatriate central. If there's anything those psychotic Cuban expatriates hate, it's someone who's soft on the godless commies who screwed up their ancestors' gun running, drug smuggling and money laundering activities 40 years ago, thus forcing their descendants to take up gun running, drug smuggling and money laundering in the oppressive hell that is south Florida, i.e. the Gulag squared.
posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 01:49:23 PM | link

WHEATSCHTOFF
Frank Prial writes about wheat beers in the Grey Lady. Here's the one paragraph with which I couldn't agree more.
The best value was another hefe beer, Franziskaner Hefe-Weisse from Munich, which rated two and a half stars and cost $2 for a one-pint 9-ounce bottle. The hefe beers are usually medium-bodied and highly carbonated. They, like the Berliner weisse beers, often undergo a secondary fermentation in the bottle.
I'm lucky enough to have this stuff on tap locally. When it's on, it's great; but it goes downhill really fast. The only beer I've had that goes bad faster is Red Oak. When it's on, it's spec-fucking-tacular; but when it's off, which could be the next day, head for the head.

Today's "Dining & Wine" section also has a article by Steven Raichlen (author of the very, very good The Barbecue Bible), wherein he tells of the BBQ wonders to be found in the Kreuz Market in Lockhart. I hear their brisket is almost as good as mine.
posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 01:33:53 PM | link

THE CANUCK INVESTOR
A friend, who we'll call the Canuck Investor, sends me these comments on some of today's items.
Shit. The financial types have finally wised up to the only good idea I ever had in investing - buy stocks with dividends. That strategy is the reason I actually made money in 2001, and am not down too much this year (about 5%). Now that everybody's doing it the strategy will cease to pay off - until, of course, they all decide to put their cash in a new fad. Nanotech, anyone?

Reading Buffet's comments makes me regret that I have never bought his stock. Sure, for most of my investing career the only option was his Berkshire stock at several tens of thousands of dollars per share, but now there are "Baby Berkshires" at only $2,000 per share. Nearly bought some yesterday.

When I was up north a few weeks ago the Vox column in the globe had some pretty uncompromising articles about options. Unfortunately, their archive doesn't go back far enough to retreive this but I remember one comparison.

Instead of options, one could issue SARs or stock appreciation rights. If the stock is at $10 and we give the CEO a million SARs, then at a given time we give him cash equal to the change in stock price times one million. So if the stock is now $20 he gets ten million dollars. This is superior to option granting in two ways. The money is now clearly an expense and must be entered on the books as such. For this reason the company does not pay tax on that money, so there is a savings to the company. Sure, the CEO now has to pay tax on this as income, not capital gains. However, the shareholders cannot be expected to have much sympathy for someone who has to pay tax on a ten million dollar payday, in addition to their regular high salary. And the capital gains tax break allegedly exists to encourge risk-taking and entrepreneurship. I fail to see how the passive acceptance of options, in addition to a high salary, qualifies as either.

So why are SARs not issued? For the reasons given above, naturally. They would make it too clear to the stockholders how much the treasury is being looted, and they would force the poor executives to actually pay their taxes. And that could be repression of a truly gulag-orific nature. Word on the street is that both Stalin and Saddam approve of SARs.


posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 01:27:42 PM |
link

CHECHEN CLEANSING
The
BBC reports on the Russians cleansing the Chechen countryside of extraneous males. Recall that Russia was - even as recently as a year ago - an official villain for slaughtering Chechens. Luckily for them, the Forever War was declared, the Cabal needed Russian permission to set up bases in the oil-rich Caspian basin republics, the Russians fortuitously found a "Taliban r00lz!" t-shirt in Chechnya, and a mutually beneficial agreement was reached. Politik just doesn't get much more fucking real.
posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 11:28:22 AM | link

THE ARMY IRS GETS TOUGH IN NAM
The
Memory Hole (via What Really Happened) features an excerpt from Salute to Veterans 1996: Oral Histories From Veterans and Their Relatives (edited by Mary Lewis Deans, Flatrock Books, North Carolina). In the excerpt, a Colonel James Robert "Cotton" Hildreth recalls orders he received to napalm a "Vietcong" village. After he balked at the mission - seeing no evidence of "Vietcong" and dumping the napalm in a ditch instead of on the village at the last minute - he landed and returned to Squadron Operations. He described the situation and asked why he'd been asked to napalm the village. The reply of a brigadier general:
"Damn, Cotton, don't you know what's going on? That village didn't pay their taxes. That lieutenant colonel, a provincial commander, is teaching them a lesson."

posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 11:19:22 AM | link

MAKING CORPORATE FINANCE WORK FOR YOU
Calvin Woodward explains how you can apply the principles of corporate finance to your personal life. You should be warned, though, that if your "assets" don't include a deep, personal friendship with the Cabal then this strategy might not work.
Harriet Homeowner's personal finances are a mess and she wants that swanky new car. Out of luck? Not necessarily. She could always try some corporate sleight of hand.

She could hand out business cards and claim these potential clients are as good as money in her bank account.

She could shuffle that bothersome credit card bill around until it appears to be a long-term investment something with value instead of an in-your-face drain on the checking account.

She could send fruit baskets to friends and claim them as sales. That might help her books look good enough to get her the big loan, even if it is fraud.
...
Such tricks are right out of corporate ledgers. The vaunted inventiveness of American business extends beyond the products it makes; it has been cutting edge with creative bookkeeping, too. A gathering wave of reform from Congress is trying to control that.


posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 11:06:15 AM | link

LEAVE MORGAN AND CITIGROUP ALONE?
A
Fall Street editorial urges that the government not pursue J. P. Morgan and Citigroup for the financial "irregularities" being brought to light. Why?
[A] collapse in JPM or C would make Enron and WorldCom look like botched high school projects.
It expands on this theme.
I will say this once, keep my fingers crossed, and never repeat it again: if an OTC derivatives collapse at a major U.S. financial institution was to ever be made public the fabric that binds investor confidence could completely unravel. Quite frankly, if U.S. regulators and the investing public are having a difficult time coping with Enron-related problems, discovery that the multi-trillion dollar OTC derivatives market needs fixing because a couple of LTCM copycats just blew-up could be overwhelming. Yes, financial dealers will be hung out to dry from time to time. However, it is the Fed's job is to bail them out and not tell anyone.

Will JPM and C be left alone? Time will tell. All that is known is that sending a few criminals to jail is sometimes not as important as keeping the public in the dark, or so we are led to 'believe'..

Or is it already too late to save these bastions of fiduciary integrity?
Citigroup Inc. and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. shares plunged, erasing as much as $65 billion in combined market value this week, as the bank defended allegations in Congress that they helped Enron Corp. hide debt.
Uh oh.
Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C - News) and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM - News), already facing criticism for transactions involving Enron Corp. (Other OTC:ENRNQ.PK - News), marketed similarly structured deals to other companies, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday.

The allegations will be made in testimony that a senior congressional investigator will give at hearings that start Tuesday, the paper said.


posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 10:44:00 AM | link

HIGHLY SIGNIFICANT
So what's one indicator you can use to separate the kernels of wheat from the trainloads of chaff? How about
paying dividends, a practice that makes it a bit more difficult to engage in financial shenanigans?
...
So far this year, the 350 dividend-paying stocks in the S&P 500 have declined about 11 percent, less painful than the 29 percent drop among those that don't pay dividends.
...

posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 10:36:50 AM | link

HARVEY'S BRASS BALLS
Harvey Pitt's woken up from his long nap long enough to request
a raise and a promotion for his sterling efforts.
posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 10:31:28 AM | link

BUFFETT ON CORPORATE AMERICA
Warren Buffett explains the cooking of the books that's led him to put corporate earnings reports on the science fiction pile for many years, and that has your 401(k) wasting away in margaritaville.
...
The most flagrant deceptions have occurred in stock-option accounting and in assumptions about pension-fund returns. The aggregate misrepresentation in these two areas dwarfs the lies of Enron and WorldCom.

In calculating the pension costs that directly affect their earnings, companies in the Standard & Poor's index of 500 stocks are today using assumptions about investment return rates that go as high as 11 percent. The rate chosen is important: in many cases, an upward change of a single percentage point will increase the annual earnings a company reports by more than $100 million. It's no surprise, therefore, that many chief executives opt for assumptions that are wildly optimistic, even as their pension assets perform miserably. These C.E.O.'s simply ignore this unpleasant reality and their obliging actuaries and auditors bless whatever rate the company selects. How convenient: Client A, using a 6.5 percent rate, receives a clean audit opinion - and so does client B, which opts for an 11 percent rate.

All that is bad, but the far greater sin has been option accounting. Options are a huge cost for many corporations and a huge benefit to executives. No wonder, then, that they have fought ferociously to avoid making a charge against their earnings. Without blushing, almost all C.E.O.'s have told their shareholders that options are cost-free.

For these C.E.O.'s I have a proposition: Berkshire Hathaway will sell you insurance, carpeting or any of our other products in exchange for options identical to those you grant yourselves. It'll all be cash-free. But do you really think your corporation will not have incurred a cost when you hand over the options in exchange for the carpeting? Or do you really think that placing a value on the option is just too difficult to do, one of your other excuses for not expensing them? If these are the opinions you honestly hold, call me collect. We can do business.

Chief executives frequently claim that options have no cost because their issuance is cashless. But when they do so, they ignore the fact that many C.E.O.'s regularly include pension income in their earnings, though this item doesn't deliver a dime to their companies. They also ignore another reality: When corporations grant restricted stock to their executives these grants are routinely, and properly, expensed, even though no cash changes hands.

When a company gives something of value to its employees in return for their services, it is clearly a compensation expense. And if expenses don't belong in the earnings statement, where in the world do they belong?
...


posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 10:29:20 AM | link

AN INDICATOR NO MORE
The
Financial Times tells us that the Dow Jones average has "outlived its usefulness as a measure of stock market performance." This conclusion was reached, of course, by a careful, intensive analysis of all appropriate variables and not just because it's dropping like a rock. And we would, of course, find nary a single article in the Financial Times over the last, say, decade, loudly declaring the timeless usefulness of the DJ as an indicator of the true state of the U.S. economy. Nor would we find such an article in the next issue of the Financial Times should the DJ increase by, say, 5000 points in the next couple of days. Nossir, these are keen, clear-eyed observers of the nature of physical reality.
posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 10:11:38 AM | link

MORE THAN A RIVER IN EGYPT
Talking Points Memo beautifully describes a Washington Post article entitled Bush bids to regain economic initiative.
It's yet another piece on the White House's response (if you can call it that) to the corporate scandals and stock market tumble. But this one just perfectly captures the mix of ideological rigidity, bizarre denial and whistling-past-the-grave trash-talk which is now the coin of the realm at the White House.
...
The upshot of the article is that Wall Street and congressional Republicans are going nuts. They think the sky is falling. But the White House thinks things really aren't so bad. And they have a clever plan! The administration will use the August congressional recess to get a jump on Congress by pressing lawmakers to vote on fast track. That, and the President and Secretry O'Neill will travel to companies around the country that are doing well.
...
It gets better. Marshall on a paragraph describing the "more dramatic economic proposals" being created by the White House's chief economic advisor, i.e. a cut in the capital gains tax.
...
This is what I mean by the feedback loop and smoke coming out of their ears. Larry Lindsey is the president's chief economic advisor, the top cheese, as good as it gets. His solution to the fix we're in is to jigger the capital gains tax. Obviously his advice is being blocked by political advisors who happen not to be insane. But if Lindsey is being sidelined because he's taken up residence on another planet who does that leave guiding the nation's economic policy? Not Paul O'Neill. No one likes or respects him at the White House. Don Evans? Dick Cheney?

I think the answer is pretty obvious: No one.

The Cabal would be remindful of Nero fiddling while Rome burned, except the supposed facts concerning that event are completely incorrect. Hmmm, come to think of it, it's even more appropriate than I originally thought.
posted by Steven Baum 7/24/2002 09:30:12 AM | link

Tuesday, July 23, 2002

LIST OF SHAME, PART THE SECOND
Craig asks for the other albums I own on the One Hundred Albums... shit list. I've listened to all of these as regularly as I listen to anything these days, given all the other shit I'm trying to cram into my shuffle on this here coil.
  • Layla - If I told Greg Allman that some schlub called his brother a "bootlicking" bandmate basking in someone else's limelight, he'd probably kick their ass. Even Clapton's not brain dead enough (yet) to deny Duane's significant contributions to this album. If Clapton was god, then Duane was at least some combination of Thor and Shiva.
  • Dark Side of the Moon - Sometimes the hype is right. It is here, although I've always kinda preferred "Wish You Were Here."
  • Bitches Brew (The Complete Frigging Sessions) - It's only Miles, but I like it. I suspect (accuse?) those who beg to disagree of being insufficiently gracious to forgive Miles for not remaking "Kind of Blue" 50 times. Miles, of course, lacked the graciousness to characterize his critics as anything other than "babbling lackwits."
  • Synchronicity - The reviewer apparently skipped the first part of side one. Ooops, there I go showing my age again. I mean he must have skipped the early part of the CD. Miles and Stuart did a fair job of keeping Gordo's worst tendencies under control on this one, and gave it more than enough edge to keep it from being "homogenized."
Actually, I've also got a smattering or so of Dead concerts on MP3 via Furthur. Okay, I have 6+ instead of the 5 I originally claimed. I was young when I made that post, and needed the money. Hmmm, actually I think I may have a copy of "Heaven Up Here" on cassette somewhere. I'd better stop pondering this stuff.
posted by Steven Baum 7/23/2002 04:49:20 PM | link

THE PENSION FUND WAS JUST SITTING THERE
The
Boston Globe tells how those with 401(k) and similar retirement plans are not only watching their pensions shrink, but may end up paying (via taxes) for the disappearing pensions of those who aren't enrolled in defined contribution plans. The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation, the government agency that guarantees the pensions of 44 million Americans, has seen its surplus of $10 billion shrink to $5 billion since the fall of 2000. Why? As various businesses go bankrupt or fold, the PBGC is required to bail out those enrolled in the pension fund. These would be the "old" types of pension funds wherein the company actually paid money into the fund rather than the New Economy solution of offering the employees a 401(k) plan or nothing. That is, the companies were supposed to consider the money in the pension funds as sacred and not something to be tossed around in derivative or other hare-brained schemes since it was meant to be retirement income rather than more gambling, whoring and yachting money for the financial elite, the latter of whom I'm sure delivered more than a few lectures to their proles about moral and financial integrity (see Jack(ass) Welch's self-serving bit of flatulence, for example).

The companies wherein the pension funds just "vanished" were playing the same game the S&Ls were in the 1980s. Less financial regulation plus a guarantee of a federal bailout for the "lower classes" led to behavior that would make a Crack House/Frat mixer in Fort Lauderdale during spring break seem tame. The upshot is those who "lost" the money - in Cayman Islands bank accounts amongst other haystacks - get to keep their winnings. The government bails out the depositors/pensioners who aren't playing the game with 10 aces up their sleeve, although those same people end up paying for their own bailout via their taxes. The propaganda churned out constantly by the toadying scribes dutifully informs the taxpayers who is really at fault, of course, although it's going to be pretty damned hard to blame the current situation on Cadillac-driving welfare queens. Well, at least we can all still be comfortable knowing that a con-man who passes three bad checks for over $50 is eligible for life in prison in some states. But it would devastate my delicate moral state even more than Clinton's blowjob to discover that Key Lay and his spiritual brethren were experiencing anything harsher than a temporary liquidity crisis.
posted by Steven Baum 7/23/2002 04:18:12 PM | link

WHAT DOES HARVARD KNOW?
What does the Harvard Endowment know that apparently everybody else doesn't?
Scoop asks this question after reading a Sept. 2000 Boston Globe article about the Endowment's performance over the previous five years.
Harvard, already the world's richest university by far, last year added significantly to its fantastic wealth: The school's endowment jumped nearly a third, to $19.2 billion from $14.4 billion.

That's larger than the annual budgets of 142 countries, including Cuba, Jordan, and Lithuania.

The $4.8 billion dollar increase alone is larger than the total endowments reported last year by some of the nation's other top universities, including the Massachusetts Institute of Technology ($4.3 billion), Columbia University ($3.6 billion), and Dartmouth College ($1.7 billion).
...
The 32 percent return on the university's more than 8,600 investments was higher than in any other year since 1983. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 7.3 percent over the same period.

The principal reason for the jump was a 155 percent return in private equity investments, which includes venture capital. Harvard is one of the few colleges that has enough money to invest in such accounts, which are considered speculative. Still, those investments represent only 15 percent of Harvard's portfolio.
...

Why is Scoop asking questions? One reason is the Endowment's financial relationship to Dubya and Harken, a matter on which the Endowment has thus far refused to shed any light other than regurgitating the standard "that's old business" boilerplate. They've also played a role in various other questionable financial transactions and, to be blunt:
Harvard Endowment dedicates a relatively small portion of its earnings to fund education. The majority of profits are reinvested and rolled over tax free. This retention policy means the Endowment's mission is not primarily education, but to serve as a multi-generational tax free private investment club. If the American people are going to offer substantial tax benefits to small private investment groups who invest, profit and reinvest for their own private benefit, the time has come that they been held to the Securities and Exchange Commission disclosure standards applied to numerous investment vehicles.
That is, if they're going to be another money pump siphoning money out of the taxes and 401(k) and other retirement accounts of the "lower classes" to make the ultra-wealthy even wealthier, then it's time to direct a little sunshine on the matter. Like the Homeland Security motto will eventually read, "The innocent have nothing to fear."
posted by Steven Baum 7/23/2002 03:37:59 PM | link

STEVE EARLE
This is the most pathetic bit of straw-grasping I've yet read from the usual suspects, although I'm sure the limbo pole will be taken subterranean sooner rather than later. I'm reminded of an interview with another damned fine songwriter named Merle Haggard. When asked about his classic "Okie from Muskogee" (which contains the lyric "We don't smoke marijuana in Muskogee"), he laughed and commented that he and the boys in the band almost certainly had more dope at the time than any hippies they knew.

Those with better things to do with their time than leap on the "declare Earle and enemy of the state for insufficient doctrinal purity" bandwagon might want to give a listen to Merle's 1970 tribute album A Tribute To The Best Damn Fiddle Player In The World: Or, My Salute To Bob Wills, which deserves mega-kudos for not only being a great album, but for inspiring Ray Benson and others to revive the great tradition of Texas swing music.

P.S. Anyone knowing how to nuke the previous URL-botched version of this via the Blogger interface is welcome to clue me in.
posted by Steven Baum 7/23/2002 01:50:24 PM | link

STEVE EARLE
This is the most pathetic bit of straw-grasping I've yet read from the usual suspects, although I'm sure the limbo pole will be taken subterranean sooner rather than later. I'm reminded of an interview with another damned fine songwriter named Merle Haggard. When asked about his classic "Okie from Muskogee" (which contains the lyric "We don't smoke marijuana in Muskogee"), he laughed and commented that he and the boys in the band almost certainly had more dope at the time than any hippies they knew.

Those with better things to do with their time than declare Earle an enemy of the state might want to give a listen to Merle's marvelous 1970 tribute album posted by Steven Baum 7/23/2002 11:44:17 AM | link

THE 401(K) HOAX
Business Week provides an excerpt from a book co-authored by a regular contributor. Here's a few excerpts from The Great 401(k) Hoax by William Wolman and Anne Colamosca.
The vision of family wealth turned the 401(k) into a cultural icon celebrated in cartoons, fiction, television, magazines, and front-page stories in the nation's most famous newspapers. The 401(k) is a form of retirement plan in which employees are responsible for managing their own pensions and employers voluntarily contribute matching funds or stock. It differs from traditional defined benefit plans, which guarantee a monthly income to retirees. In a defined contribution plan such as the 401(k), the risk of the plan, especially if the stock market declines or the employer opts not to provide matching funds or company stock, is borne by the worker. The 401(k) seemed to be ideally suited to an age in which politicians refused to pay for high-priced government programs and "go it alone" endeavor ruled the day. The 401(k) was portable in a workplace where frequent job changes were fashionable and held to be desirable. It provided some scope for eligible employees to make their own decisions about how to invest their money in an era when investment information dominated the airwaves and Internet. It seemed ideally suited to a world in which it was cheaper and cheaper to trade stocks. And above all, it appeared as a device that made it easy for the average worker to participate in the greatest boom in history. It seemed that the 401(k) would be a perpetual wealth machine for each and every member of the great American middle class.

It felt great while it lasted. But the 401(k) will turn out to be the greatest systemic financial hoax ever perpetrated on an unsuspecting public. The danger inherent in the four characters is, as Vice President Dick Cheney would say, "big time." The problems with the 401(k) suddenly surfaced in late 2001, when a recession that was already underway was intensified by the attack on the World Trade Center. In quick succession, some leading corporations, including Daimler-Chrysler, Lucent, Bethlehem Steel, Wyndham International, and above all, Enron, scaled back their matching contributions to 401(k)s. And Enron and Lucent were shown to have forced their employees to hold company stock even against their will, with catastrophic consequences in a market where those stocks were plunging. Some 30 percent of assets held in 1.5 million 401(k) plans were in the stock of the company sponsoring the plan, putting many people at risk (see Chapter 8). In the wake of these revelations, employees around the country held their breath in case their 401(k)s should suffer a similar fate.
...
The retirement revolution took the risks inherent in investing away from the corporation and put them squarely on the backs of employees. The 401(k) came to be known as a defined contribution pension plan. Theoretically, it left employees free to choose from a menu of their own investments, with the caveat that any risk that investments would turn sour would be the responsibility of workers.

In effect, 401(k)s ask American workers to ape the investment behavior of the rich, even though they obviously do not have the resources to ride out bad markets of the kind that we believe will prevail for the next decade. By law, working Americans own the money in their 401(k) plans and are free to invest it as they will. But in reality, most companies do not include an adequate range of investment choices to safeguard savings in volatile markets. At their core, the choices available in most 401(k)s represent a sometimes subtle, and sometimes not so subtle, implication that the employee would do best by investing in stocks.
...
The American public has been hoodwinked by political and corporate forces into relying on the 401(k) as the primary long-term investment mechanism. In doing so, the stock market has been put at center stage in providing for a comfortable retirement for the average American. The 401(k) represents an implicit promise to middle-class Americans that they can live off the income that they receive from stock ownership, just like the rich do. It is a promise that is impossible to fulfill: It is the great 401(k) hoax.

But seeing how the stock market's going to be up to at least 36,000 by the end of the decade, it's safe to ignore these two nattering nabobs of negativism. And the sooner we get social security privatized, the better. After all, what's good for the House of Morgan is good for America.
posted by Steven Baum 7/23/2002 11:14:24 AM | link

HOW TO SURVIVE IN THE CURRENT ECONOMY
The Deal appraises us of win-win synergies we can apply successfully even in the current economy.
Aiming to bulk up its defense services offerings, the engineering contractor URS Corp. on Wednesday, July 17, announced a $500 million agreement to acquire EG&G Technical Service Holdings LLC, a privately held provider of engineering and management services to the federal government.

The deal represents a handsome payoff for EG&G's owner, The Carlyle Group. The Washington-based buyout firm, which holds about 90% of Gaithersburg, Md.-based EG&G, would more than double the value of its $135 million equity investment, according to the Carlyle managing director Joseph Lipscomb.

Carlyle would receive about $149 million in cash and URS common and preferred stock valued at about $153 million.

Just four months ago, Carlyle created the current EG&G by combining two of its portfolio companies: Lear Siegler Services Inc., the military aircraft and vehicle management services division of aviation services company UNC Inc. acquired by Carlyle in 1997 for $100 million, and EG&G Technical Services, which the firm bought from PerkinElmer Inc. for $250 million in 1999.
...

So what does EG&G do that guarantees them profits in the Forever War climate?
...
Strategically, the transaction gives URS a strong presence in so-called back-end services. URS is a leading provider of architectural and engineering consulting, which includes planning highways and bridges and major facility construction. It also has several defense contracts to build military housing and other buildings and to manage environmental cleanups on bases.

EG&G specializes in outsourcing professionals who operate, maintain and repair facilities, primarily for the military. Specifically, the company is under contract to destroy the U.S. Army's chemical weapons stockpiles. It also provides weapons-testing services on submarines to the U.S. Navy and does aircraft maintenance for the U.S. Air Force.
...

But unfortunately for those of us who weren't born with a silver spoon in our mouths (i.e. with the last name of Bush) or who weren't college roomies with Frank Carlucci or Donald Rumsfeld, the Carlyle Group is a private investment group. Just keep on buying those WorldCom shares. They'll be going up, Up, UP!!!! in no time, so you won't have to make that hard decision between a retirement home near a ski resort and, well, not retiring. (That last bit was stolen from last night's Daily Show.)
posted by Steven Baum 7/23/2002 10:55:29 AM | link

CEOs DIVING FOR COVER
The
LATimes tells us of the more than slightly predictable actions of those who are scared of being held accountable for their misdeeds.
A new rule forcing corporate leaders to vouch personally for the accuracy of their companies' financial statements has set off a legal scramble, as worried executives search for ways to protect themselves from potential civil or criminal liability.

The Securities and Exchange Commission rule requires chief executives and chief financial officers of large companies to sign sworn statements by mid-August declaring that recent financial reports are accurate and complete.

Though companies always have been required to provide accurate data, the personal declarations could ratchet up executives' legal liability if errors--honest or otherwise--turn up later.

That has prompted CEOs to take such steps as rechecking accounting procedures, boosting personal liability insurance and forcing subordinates to sign similar statements under oath, experts say.
...

Ah, the time-honored "blame the secretaries" ploy. That one never gets old.

A securities lawyer tells us of a huge downside to this new rule.

...
"At some point, you rack up the liability so high that you don't get good people" to take these jobs, said Seth Taube, a securities lawyer at McCarter & English in Newark, N.J.
...
As opposed to the growing number of "good" people we're learning new things about each and every day? Note also how Seth uses the word "good" rather than "honest." He's a lawyer and I'm sure his choice of words is quite deliberate.
posted by Steven Baum 7/23/2002 10:42:24 AM | link

"THE LIMITS OF THE GRAVEYARD"
A
Fall Street item speculating about the recent activity of the so-called Plunge Protection Squad contains an interesting quote from 1929.
"Neither assets nor earnings, large as the earnings have been in many instances, warrant the market valuations of hundreds of stock issues. There has been an inflation not free from the charge of criminality, and which has been brought about by misrepresentation, and in many instances dishonest salesmanship. Many corporations have responded to the hysteria and inflationary spirit, and have increased their stocks issues without reason and without justification, expecting to unload them, as unfortunately has been done, upon a credulous, hysterical, if not intoxicated public. It was inevitable that a day of reckoning would come? ?brokers and some bankers and credit organizations have joined in the credit "joy ride" of speculation. They and others must beware lest the catastrophe continue and the limits of the graveyard require enlargement."

Senator King, October 25, 1929, New York Times


posted by Steven Baum 7/23/2002 10:02:53 AM | link

SHOCKED I AM!
I'm just shocked and appalled to learn that Citigroup and the House of Morgan were
intimately involved in the fraud. I'm currently working through an account of the Penn Central bankruptcy of the early 1970s. The con artists didn't invent this financial chicanery last week, you know.
Major investment banks helped Enron Corp. for years by lending the fallen energy giant billions of dollars via elaborately disguised commodity trades, a congressional panel said on Monday, linking Wall Street more closely to the Enron debacle.

Investigators for the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations said Enron, bankrupt since December, obtained $8.5 billion in financing from 1992 to 2001 from Citigroup Inc. and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. Inc., which collected hefty fees and interest payments.

The subcommittee, chaired by Democratic Sen. Carl Levin of Michigan, said it would provide extensive details at Capitol Hill hearings scheduled to be held on Tuesday and next week, promising to shed more light on the flood of corporate scandal inundating Wall Street.

"The maze of financial transactions that Enron constructed to make its financial statements look good makes Rube Goldberg look like a slacker," Michigan's Levin said in a statement.

The commodity trades were known as "prepay" transactions. Enron booked proceeds from them as cash flow from operations, but should have booked it as debt, the committee said.

"Certain financial institutions knowingly participated in, and indeed facilitated, transactions that Enron officials used to hide debt and, thereby, make the company's financial position appear stronger than it actually was," Sen. Susan Collins, of Maine, the committee's ranking Republican.
...


posted by Steven Baum 7/23/2002 09:54:47 AM | link

NEXT UP: POLAROID
The
New York Post tells of the next "shocking revelation" of corporate fraud, wherein Polaroid's investors are being relieved of over a billion via some accounting sleight of hand.
GET ready for yet another 10-digit accounting scandal from the world of big business: The astonishing disappearance - behind the drawn curtains of a federal bankruptcy court in Delaware - of more than $1 billion of corporate assets from the books of Polaroid Corp., and the reappearance of most of it, free of charge, in the pockets of a Wall Street buyout fund.

How this has happened stands as a cautionary reminder that bankruptcy courts are one of the riskiest places of all for investors. Yet as the economy weakens and more and more big companies keel over, that's where more and more shareholders are likely to wind up.

For what awaits them, check out the plight of bankrupted Polaroid Corp.'s shareholders, who are about to be shorn of $1.1 billion in balance sheet assets and $175 million of shareholder equity.

THE ploy? An accounting maneuver that is shifting the assets, seemingly free of charge, from Polaroid's books to the books of a Wall Street partnership that is set to take Polaroid private in a buyout for less than $24 million of actual cash money.

Some of the biggest names in high finance are involved in this stunt, from the fancy-pants law firm of Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom to the infamous Arthur Andersen crowd.
...

Reminds of last night's daily show, wherein Jon Stewart wondered about and obtained the opinion of the "man on the street." The "man" said that we should take the CEOs out of their mansions and shoot them, a sentiment that elicited more than a little applause from the studio audience. Stewart commented, "I think we've tapped into something here."

A rather long piece on NPR this AM nearly had me retching. They were discussing how Alan Greenspan laid much of the blame on stock options, which created an environment in which it was all too easy to bend or break ethical and legal limits. I was wondering when I was going to start hearing how it was the fault of the "environment" and not of the criminals themselves. "Well, yes, judge, I was doing fine until I drove by that bank with all the money. The cash-rich environment - combined of course with Clinton's moral holocaust - were just too much for me and I knocked it over."
posted by Steven Baum 7/23/2002 09:41:15 AM | link

Monday, July 22, 2002

TWO MORE SHOES TO DROP
Al Martin's latest tells of two more shoes that might be dropping vis a vis your financial future. The first is...
...the corporate pension fraud. There is an aggregate of probably some number in the trillions of dollars that American corporations owe their own pension funds.

This was recently revealed when General Motors made the admission that it has a $3.6 billion deficit in its fixed pension fund. Ford, Chrysler, and General Electric-all have enormous multi-billion fixed deficits. And that's only the tip of the iceberg.

In the future, any corporations that have any shortfalls in their pension plans are going to have to make provisions to use corporate profits to replenish those funds.

The reason those pension frauds were allowed to exist is that both during the Reagan Bush I Regime, and now the Bush II Regime, they consistently weakened regulatory statutes regarding corporate pension funds. They gave corporations more leeway and more time to replenish the money. More tax write-off, more depreciation and so on. It has been the Bush Cabal, which has created this corporate pension problem. That's the first shoe to drop next.

The next one (which nobody is talking about, which Al Martin Raw.com is now revealing) is that this market slide and the corporate collapses of Enron, WorldCom, and Global Crossings etc. have created thus far (and the process isn't completed yet) $500 billion in bad loans for American banks.

Very little, if any, of this money will be recovered. The banks will simply have to write the money off. This is at a time when personal bankruptcies are at all time highs and continue to increase. This is a time when banks are already writing down record amounts of consumer debt. Now they're going to get hit with a double whammy of this newly created corporate bad debt.

Nobody has talked about what the impact of this to the marketplace and to our economy is going to be. Therefore, this is why the market continues to decline -- despite some seemingly bright spots.
...

Al opines that those in power are very much aware of both these "shoes", but are downplaying everything so they can short the market and get out while the suckers keep going long on the advice of the hordes of talking heads. Al's not very fond of the Bush Cabal.
posted by Steven Baum 7/22/2002 04:35:42 PM | link

WHERE ARE THEY NOW?
Fortune catches us up on the fortunes of Harken since Junior left. Al Martin, who claims to have been involved in Harken and similar scams, er, companies, has a slightly different take on the matter, wherein fraud and deception are the point rather than ancillary matters.
Turns out that this now infamous oil and gas company, which as you may remember was in declining health when W. made his stock sale in 1990, is in even worse shape today. A little digging reveals a company that has lost hundreds of millions of dollars over the past half decade. Harken's stock, (ticker HEC-ASE) currently trades for just pennies. Its CEO, chief accounting officer, and CFO, all worked in the energy audit division of Arthur Andersen, the CFO as recently as the mid-90s. The COO was also an Andersen auditor. Continuing a practice that was in place when W. was in residence, the company made loans (and forgave at least one of them) to senior management and directors.

Now a tiny, highly leveraged company, Harken has dozens of operating subsidiaries and a tangle of financial statements. Despite the company's notoriety, it's hard to find anyone who follows Harken these days. "We dropped coverage [of Harken] two years ago," says Fadel Gheit, senior energy analyst at Fahnestock & Co. "Because you get sick and tired of 'the check is in the mail'. They promise but they don't deliver. You cannot have a company go to investors and tell them just go to the next well and then the next well is dry and then they say wait for the next one." The company did not return repeated calls for comment.
...
Harken, which is engaged in oil and gas exploration, development, and production in Texas and the Gulf of Mexico, as well as in Colombia, Peru, Panama, and Costa Rica, soldiered on after Bush left. CEO Mikel Faulkner and COO Bruce Huff, CPAs who have been with the Harken since 1980 and 1990 respectively, pursued a variety of deals to jump-start its operations. But without much luck. The company's Latin American operations in particular were a drag, and Harken lost some $263 million over the past five years. And in a complex series of transactions, Harken recently moved its South American operations into a British company called Global PLC, of which Harken owns 92%. "It was always suspected that something was fishy, but not because of the Bush connection," says Gheit of Fahnestock. "That for a small company like Harken to be involved in foreign drilling operations getting concessions from foreign governments, things just didn't add up. A lot of people had suspected that this was a CIA front." That particular point, of course, is just a rumor.

Here are more facts: In November 2000, with its stock in a nosedive, Harken did a 1-10 reverse stock split. This maneuver reduces the number of shares outstanding by a factor of ten and is intended to boost a company's stock price, which it did, for a while. Harken's stock popped up from 50 cents to $5.00, but then resumed its descent, falling to a recent low of 38 cents. (Note that unadjusted for the reverse split, Harken's stock would now be trading for 3.8 cents!) Harken, which once had a market capitalization of hundreds of millions of dollars, is now worth only $8 million. The company, which did $32 million in sales last year and posted a net loss of $41 million, has $64 million in long-term obligations, most of it in the form of convertible notes.

For such a wheezing pipsqueak, Harken has attracted a surprising number of big names besides Bush. SEC documents show that in 1985, billionaire investor George Soros sold a company he controlled named Consolidated to Harken for stock and joined its board. He stayed until his stake was bought out by the company four years later. In the 1990s, Michael Huffington, former Republican Congressman from California and ex-spouse of Arianna, owned a company that was partner in a well with Harken in Colombia. And in 1999 an SEC filing shows that a group of financial entities tied to Wall Street big shot Geoffrey Boisi owned 5.4% of Harken's stock.
...


posted by Steven Baum 7/22/2002 04:23:05 PM | link

THE LIST OF SHAME
Out of 1400 vinyl albums, 850 cassettes and 700 or so CDs, I have five of the
One Hundred Albums You Should Remove from Your Collection Immediately (via Craig at Booknotes). About the only things I much disagree with are "Trout Mask Replica" and "Sgt. Pepper". The former is admittedly a matter of personal taste, but the latter was put in for not much more than shock value.
posted by Steven Baum 7/22/2002 02:01:02 PM | link


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