Powered by Blogger

Ethel the Blog
Observations (and occasional brash opining) on science, computers, books, music and other shiny things that catch my mind's eye. There's a home page with ostensibly more permanent stuff. This is intended to be more functional than decorative. I neither intend nor want to surf on the bleeding edge, keep it real, redefine journalism or attract nyphomaniacal groupies (well, maybe a wee bit of the latter). The occasional cheap laugh, raised eyebrow or provocation of interest are all I'll plead guilty to in the matter of intent. Bene qui latuit bene vixit.

The usual copyright stuff applies, but I probably won't get enraged until I find a clone site with absolutely no attribution (which, by the way, has happened twice with some of my other stuff). Finally, if anyone's offended by anything on this site then please do notify me immediately. I like to keep track of those times when I get something right.

Google!


How to blog?

METABLOGGING

Blog Madness
Blog Portal
linkwatcher
Monitor

BLOGS (YMMV)

abuddhas memes
alamut
apathy
arms and the man
baghdad burning
bifurcated rivets
big left outside
boing boing
booknotes
bovine inversus
bradlands
bushwacker
camworld
cheek
chess log
cogent provocateur
cool tools
counterspin
crooked timber
delong
digby
drat fink
drmike
d-squared
dumbmonkey
electrolite
eschaton
estimated prophet
ezrael
fat planet
flutterby!
follow me here
geegaw
genehack
ghost
glare
gmtplus9
hack the planet
harmful
hauser report
hell for halliburton
honeyguide
hotsy totsy club
juan cole
kestrel's nest
k marx the spot
kuro5hin
lake effect
lambda
large hearted boy
leftbanker
looka
looking glass
macleod
maxspeak
medley
memepool
metagrrrl
mike's
monkeyfist
more like this
mouse farts
my dog
norbizness
off the kuff
orcinus
pandagon
pedantry
peterme
philosoraptor
pith and vinegar
plastic
portage
q
quark soup
quiggin
randomwalks
rip post
rittenhouse
see the forest
shadow o' hegemon
sideshow
simcoe
south knox bubba
slacktivist
smudge
submerging markets
sylloge
synthetic zero
talking points
tbogg
twernt
unknownnews
vacuum
vanitysite
virulent memes
whiskey bar
windowseat tv
wood s lot

TECH

Librenix
use perl
rootprompt
slashdot
freshmeat
Ars Technica
32BitsOnline
UGeek
AnandTech
Linux Today
Tom's Hardware
DevShed


"When they say, 'Gee it's an information explosion!', no, it's not an explosion, it's a disgorgement of the bowels is what it is. Every idiotic thing that anybody could possibly write or say or think can get into the body politic now, where before things would have to have some merit to go through the publishing routine, now, ANYTHING." - Harlan Ellison



JOLLY OLD PALS
Old pals Rumsy and Saddam


Other stuff of mild interest to some:
unusual literature
scientific software blog
physical oceanography glossary
computer-related tutorials and texts

Friday, May 31, 2002

QUOTE OF THE WEEK
"I get good advice, if you will, from their people based upon how we're doing business and how we're operating - over and above just the sort of normal by-the-books auditing arrangement."

Dick Cheney, in a promotional video he did for Arthur Anderson, as seen in a Michael Kinsley column


posted by Steven Baum 5/31/2002 11:30:58 AM | link

THE SWEET, GENTLE BREEZE OF FREEDOM
The
Oklahoman (via Progressive Review) tells us of the nascent police state in rehearsal.
...
Sheila Stogsdill, a state correspondent for The Oklahoman, was walking in a public park Tuesday away from a portion of city hall set aside for families of the victims.

She did not leave when asked to do so by John Hnath, who was working with the Tulsa medical examiner's office. He then told local police to arrest her. Dr. Fred Jordan, the state medical examiner, said Hnath did not work for his agency.
...
Two Associated Press reporters were threatened with arrest on at least four occasions involving Oklahoma Highway Patrol troopers and Muskogee County sheriff's deputies.

Patrol Lt. Chris West said he doubted troopers actually threatened reporters. He said he wouldn't believe it unless he had a name and badge number.

Cecilia Collins of the Muskogee County Sheriff's Department said no action could be taken without a name and badge number.

Reporters, however, say they could not get close enough to get a name without the threat of being arrested.

Three reporters interviewing a victim's relative on the town square were told they would be arrested for unlawful assembly if they didn't leave.

A Muskogee County sheriff's deputy told another reporter he would be arrested for interfering with a federal investigation if he continued an interview on a Webbers Falls street.
...
Consider Brett Shipp. On Tuesday, Shipp -- a reporter for a Dallas television station -- completed an interview with Mayor Jewel Horne and accompanied her across the street to the police station. His cameraman kept the tape rolling. "As soon as we finished with her," Shipp said, "they moved in." "They" were a group of National Guardsmen and a representative of the medical examiner's office in Tulsa. The men ordered Shipp to leave. The newsman can be heard on tape arguing it was unconstitutional to order him removed from a public street. "I will go to jail if I have to," he says on tape. The reply came from the medical examiner. "You will probably have to," he said. He didn't. Later, Shipp said, "We went down to the park to shoot the river, and they threw us out of there, too."
...
The park also was where The Oklahoman's state correspondent, Sheila Stogsdill, was handcuffed by Webbers Falls police and detained briefly. Stogsdill, who was walking in a public area away from a portion of city hall set aside for families of the victims, refused to leave the park after John Hnath of the Tulsa medical examiner's office ordered local police to arrest her. She said she was never told what crime she was suspected of committing. Officer Luke Morris handcuffed the reporter and took her to the nearby police station. Moments earlier, Johnny Pollard, a city councilman for eight years and part-time police officer, had shouted: "Arrest her! Arrest her! Handcuff her!"

So what event inspired these tactics? Another terrorist attack? A threatened terrorist attack? An invasion by Cuba through Harlingen? Nope. The police state was inspired to put its foot down good and hard because of the Interstate 40 bridge collapse in Oklahoma. Undoubtedly a raghead was spotted at a local 7/11, a sure sign of terrorist involvement.

Note: The Oklahoman article pointed to by the Progressive Review contained different text than that excerpted in the Review. For example, the bit about Sheila Stogsdill at the start of the above excerpts is from the current version of the Oklahoman item, while the bit at the end is from the excerpt grabbed by the Review. The latter mentions that she was handcuffed and taken away, while the former doesn't. Either the story links to the Oklahoman change quite rapidly, or the article's been rewritten in the last day or so to soften the abuses.

If you think this is no big deal, then just think how the phrase "handcuffed and taken away" is routinely used in stories about any of a given week's "rogue states", e.g. Cuba, Venezuela, etc., to add verisimilitude to the implied contention that the given state is indeed a hell on earth ruled by evil evildoers of evil.
posted by Steven Baum 5/31/2002 10:42:05 AM | link

SOLUTION? ANOTHER COINTELPRO
Here's a good one. The FBI fucks up big time vis a vis 9/11 warnings not because of information it didn't have, but rather because reports in its Phoenix and Minneapolis offices were buried either deliberately or because of incompetence. So what's the solution to this?
Remove all those nasty barriers put in place to stop the extreme abuses of the Hoover years, e.g. COINTELPRO.
New Justice Department guidelines to be unveiled today will give FBI agents latitude to monitor Internet sites, libraries and religious institutions without first having to offer evidence of potential criminal activity, officials said yesterday.
...
Remember, our precious freedoms - so despised by all those evil ragheads - can only be preserved by identifying and eliminating domestic dissent which, like drug use, is wholly equivalent to killing cops. How about a pool for when we'll see the first commercial showing some tie-die clad teenager holding a protest sign and telling us, "I killed a cop."
posted by Steven Baum 5/31/2002 10:22:35 AM | link

YOUR DOLLARS FIGHTING TERRORISM
Lisa Hoffman (via What Really Happened) writes of expenditures the military deems necessary for the survival of the commonweal.
...
In a just-released report, the General Accounting Office informed Congress that its auditors found a number of "seemingly unneeded expenditures" made by the Air Force and Army in 2000 and 2001.
...
The Air Force was also criticized for an array of what the GAO deemed unjustified and excessive spending, including:
  • At al Dhafra Air Base in the United Arab Emirates, the service bought a $2,200 coffee table.
  • At Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, it bought a $24,000 loveseat and arm chair and $9,800 worth of Halloween decorations.
  • At al Jaber Air Base in Saudi Arabia, the questionable spending included an $1,800 "executive high-back" pillow, a $3,000 computer tutorial titled "The Intelligent Investor" and $19,000 worth of decorative "river rock."
  • At various Air Force installations in the Persian Gulf region, the service bought a $35,000 golf cart, a $16,000 corporate golf membership and $5,333 in golf passes.
Military experts claim that such recreational items can be a useful tool for building good relations with officials of a host country, whom base officers can invite for, say, a friendly round or two of golf.
...
That last bit's really precious. I'm sure the Halloween thing - which fundamentalists in the U.S. decry as satanic - went over like gangbusters in Saudi Arabia.
posted by Steven Baum 5/31/2002 10:07:09 AM | link

THE POWER OF GOLD
Here are a couple of fun tales about gold that certainly don't belie the age-old tales about its corrupting qualities. First, a
Scoop item.
One of the biggest financial scandal stories, on the level of Enron, is about to break.

Central banks are said to have lent their gold for about 1% per annum - the cheapest borrowed money on earth. They have not reported these loans as sales meaning their official gold reserves remain constant. But the leased gold is gone.

It has been borrowed by large trading companies called bullion banks. They borrowed at 1%, sold the gold, took the money they earned by selling the gold and invested it at 5% or more.

It was sweet multi-billion dollar deal. But now they are in a squeeze.

They owe billions of dollars of gold bullion to Central banks but to get it back, they must buy gold bullion in the open market, which is now a rising market.

They are losing money, big time.

What has saved them so far is that the Central banks are not demanding repayment. Meanwhile the public doesn't know that the leased gold is gone. The Central banks do no publish these figures.
...

In other words, the central banks have basically loaned their buddies in the bullion banks lots of gold with which to damned near print money. The tactic worked when the bubble was growing, but now the shit is hitting the fan.

More details can be found in a Zambezi Times item, especially about the role played by J. P. Morgan Chase.

...
Obfuscation, secrecy and accounting tricks appear to have catapulted the Houston-based trader of oil and gas to the top of the Fortune 100, only to be brought down by the same corporate chicanery. Meanwhile, Wall Street analysts and the federal government's top bean counters struggle to convince the nation that the Enron crash is an isolated case, not in the least reflective of how business is done in corporate America. But there are many in the world of high finance who aren't buying the official line and warn that Enron is just the first to fall from a shaky house of cards.

Many analysts believe that this problem is nowhere more evident than at the nation's bullion banks, and particularly at the House of Morgan (J.P. Morgan Chase). One of the world's leading banking institutions and a major international bullion bank, Morgan Chase has received heavy media attention in recent weeks both for its financial relationships with bankrupts Enron and Global Crossing Ltd. as well as the financial collapse of Argentina.

It is no secret that Morgan Chase was one of Enron's biggest lenders, reportedly losing at least $600 million and, perhaps, billions. The banking giant's stock has gone south, and management has been called before its shareholders to explain substantial investments in highly speculative derivatives - hidden speculation of the sort that overheated and blew up on Enron.

In recent years Morgan Chase has invested much of its capital in derivatives, including gold and interest-rate derivatives, about which very little information is provided to shareholders. Among the information that has been made available, however, is that as of June 2000, J.P. Morgan reported nearly $30 billion of gold derivatives and Chase Manhattan Corp., although merged with J.P. Morgan, still reported separately in 2000 that it had $35 billion in gold derivatives. Analysts agree that the derivatives have exploded at this bank and that both positions are enormous relative to the capital of the bank and the size of the gold market.

It gets worse. J.P. Morgan's total derivatives position reportedly now stands at nearly $29 trillion, or three times the U.S. annual gross domestic product.

Wall Street insiders speculate that if the gold market were to rise Morgan Chase could be in serious financial difficulty because of its "short positions" in gold. In other words, if the price of gold were to increase substantially, Morgan Chase and other bullion banks that are highly leveraged in gold would have trouble covering their liabilities. One financial analyst, who asked not to be identified, explained the situation this way: "Gold is borrowed by Morgan Chase from the Bank of England at 1 percent interest and then Morgan Chase sells the gold on the open market, then reinvests the proceeds into interestbearing vehicles at maybe 6 percent. At some point, though, Morgan Chase must return the borrowed gold to the Bank of England, and if the price of gold were significantly to increase during any point in this process, it would make it prohibitive and potentially ruinous to repay the gold."
...

The biggest dirty secret of derivatives trading is that when you lose you lose really, really big. Or, given recent bailouts, I should say that when you - meaning those involved in the derivative trading - lose, you - meaning the taxpayers - lose really, really big. No, that's still not quite correct: When the derivatives traders win, they win big; when they lose, the taxpayers lose big. There, that's got it.

Prepare for news, albeit probably buried in the back of the financial pages, about the House of Morgan being bailed out by the Cabal, i.e. with your money. But hey, at least they're not welfare queens buying food with your money. They're good, solid, industrious, sober citizens gambling with your money, although in real gambling there's usually a risk that the person doing the gambling will lose their own money.
posted by Steven Baum 5/31/2002 09:52:32 AM | link

UPDATE
An alert and industrious correspondent sends me additional information concerning the
last item.
the nyt says:
Fred R. Gorell, a spokesman for ChevronTexaco, said the payments would allow the company to recover its expenses on the project.

"While we are very disappointed that we will not be able to develop the Destin Dome resource, this settlement address the concerns of the parties involved and reimburses us for the investment we have made to date," Mr. Gorell said, adding that his company's share of the money would be $46 million.

According to the suit filed in 2000, the companies acquired the leases for $10.5 million but spent heavily on exploration activities, increasing their investment to an estimated $100 million.

Corporate welfare at it's greatest: a no-risk $15m profit. Chevron, Conoco Inc. and Murphy Exploration make back all their expenses and get an extra $5m on top. That's of course if I'm trusting their accounting of the exploration. How many $800 wrenches and $200 screws are booked to this exploration?

It sounds like the Collier's entire real estate speculation business hinges on government buybacks: "The family has over the years turned over 260,000 acres to the government through swaps, sales and donations, including the original 76,000 acres for Big Cypress. Family members have made contributions to President Bush and Republican causes but have also supported Democratic candidates."

That's a $15 million profit even before you assume that the $100 million for "exploration activities" is at the very least twice the real amount, especially given recent revelations about Dick Cheney's Halliburton and other energy and oil companies playing fast and loose with accounting procedures.
posted by Steven Baum 5/31/2002 09:21:11 AM | link

Thursday, May 30, 2002

CHRISTMAS IN FLORIDA
Reuters reports how the Cabal is scheming to give $235 million to it's wealthy supporters and, at the same time, color the Bushes as ardent environmentalists.
President Bush said on Wednesday the U.S. government would pay about $235 million to buy mineral rights near the Everglades and parts of the Florida coast, preventing oil and gas drilling and handing his brother Florida Gov. Jeb Bush a political bonanza.

The moves will likely help the Republican governor, who is up for re-election this November, with the vast majority of Florida residents who oppose offshore drilling as well as giving a boost to the president in the state that gave him the White House in the disputed 2000 presidential election.

By siding with local interests, however, the president is compromising his position that the United States must develop more domestic energy resources, notably by drilling in Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge or ANWR.

Under an agreement that requires congressional approval, the U.S. government will pay the Collier family about $120 million for mineral rights in Big Cypress National Preserve -- which sits beside Everglades National Park -- as well as in Florida Panther National Wildlife Refuge and Ten Thousand Islands National Wildlife Refuge.

The White House said the Collier family had donated some of the land to create the three preserves but retained the rights to their oil and gas reserves, which the Interior Department estimated at the equivalent of 40 million barrels of oil or roughly two days of U.S. domestic consumption.

Under the second agreement, the government will pay about $115 million to several oil companies, including ChevronTexaco Corp., Conoco Inc. and Murphy Oil Corp. , to buy out seven of nine natural gas leases in the "Destin Dome Unit" field off the coast of Pensacola, Florida.
...

It's gotta be really tough to give up a whole two-day oil supply for the U.S., especially when all you get in return is the opportunity to shovel another couple hundred million dollars of taxpayer money to your wealthy supporters, and wholly undeserved kudos as a protector and defender of the environment.

A bit of digging would most likely find that the Collier family originally got the land for a song, and could just as easily donate the mineral rights as they had the land for another huge tax write-off. But that's not the way things are done in the Bush Cabal, not when there's plenty of taxpayer dollars to give to the already wealthy. A bit more digging would almost certainly find the $115 million being given to the oil companies based on obscenely exaggerated estimates of the available natural gas, and that they paid nowhere close to $115 million for them in the first place. At least oil and gas drilling are being prevented, if only temporarily. Note that only seven of nine leases in the Destin Dome Unit are being purchased. The other two are undoubtedly the most promising leases. It wouldn't surprise me if the two weren't honestly estimated as at least an order of magnitude more promising than the other seven. Note also that the possession of land by the U.S. government in no way guarantees that it won't eventually be opened for drilling. Can you say ANWR?
posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 04:30:44 PM | link

TO CATCH A THIEF
The
Washington Post reports how financial services firms are organizing to catch criminals.
Leading financial services firms here have formed a private database company that will compile information about criminals, terrorists and other suspicious people, for use in screening new customers and weeding out those who may pose a risk.
...
The really funny part's coming right up.
...
The company, known as Regulatory DataCorp Int'l LLC, comes as financial services face strict new government mandates to make efforts to identify those who may want to use the U.S. financial system for illegal activity and file reports of suspicious activity to federal investigators, according to people involved in the effort.
...
Okay, it's not all that funny until you see the list of companies forming this criminal task force.
...
Among the founders are Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Citigroup Inc., Merrill Lynch & Co., UBS PaineWebber Inc. and more than a dozen other banks, asset managers and credit card companies in the United States and abroad.
...

posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 03:49:31 PM | link

THE MEDIA'S ANTI-ISRAEL BIAS
Retired Brigadier General James David
supplies yet another piece of evidence proving the media's pernicious anti-Israeli bias.
...
I encountered a first hand experience of this pro-Israeli news gestapo tactic just last week. An Associated Press article by Barry Schweid, "US : No Clear Arafat-Terror Link" stated that ' the State Department recently informed Congress that there was no clear evidence that Yasser Arafat or other senior officials of the Palestine Liberation Organization ordered or knew in advance of terror attacks on Israel.' Within 4 hours of its release the story was immediately withdrawn and replaced with a revised story, one that was far less forgiving on Arafat and the PA. Being the inquisitive person that I am, I immediately called the Associated Press office in Washington and spoke directly with Barry Schweid, the AP writer for both stories. Mr. Schweid informed me that within a few hours after the first story was released his office was swamped with pro-Israeli calls objecting to the article demanding it be revised. In addition, California Congressman Tom Lantos, a staunch Israeli supporter, was near hysterics in his complaints of the article demanding it be withdrawn and revised with a far less innocent portrayal of Chairman Arafat and the Palestinian Authority. Within minutes the article was withdrawn and was replaced with a revised article that was obviously less forgiving and far less favorable on Arafat and the PA.
...
He then details how unfairly the Israelis are held to actually reporting what happened when they kill children, rather than being allowed to get away with one obvious lie after another.
...
Just two weeks ago, a Palestinian mother and her two small sons were picking grape leaves on their own farmland when the Israelis fired a tank shell that killed all three. After the Israelis attempted to justify the killing with one of their usual lies by saying that a bomb detonated under their tank causing an immediate response, it was later discovered that there was no bomb at all. The only blast that was heard was the normal sound of clatter coming from the tank tracks.

Just two days ago an Israeli mother and her 13 year-old daughter were also killed by an Israeli tank shell. These two innocent Palestinians were doing nothing more than grazing sheep on their own land, but the Israelis had a different story to tell. According to the Israelis, the mother and her 13 year-old daughter were approaching too close to one of the checkpoints without halting causing the Israelis to open fire. Again, the Israelis were caught with their normal deception when it was later discovered that the mother and daughter were nowhere near any checkpoint. Once again, the Israelis had to change their story by saying that the two "looked suspicious." "Looking suspicious" seems to work best when Israelis need a good lie. It's only used as a last resort, but it's one lie that's rarely challenged and impossible to refute.
...

Killed for "looking suspicious". Now there's an interesting variation of the ever-popular "arrested for driving while black" riff used in various parts of God's other chosen country.
posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 03:40:57 PM | link

FREE MONEY
In
an article about yet another of the Cabal's conflicts of interest, one paragraph tells us exactly how the company formerly headed by Dick Cheney is going to be making obscene amounts of money.
...
Under the new contract, Brown and Root will be reimbursed for every dollar it spends to support the troops, and will also receive a base fee of one percent, which will guarantee the company a profit. In addition, the contract provides that Brown and Root can earn another fee provided the military approves of the company's performance. That award will be calculated as a percentage of Brown and Root's costs, a fact which critics suggest will serve only to encourage the company to spend as much as possible.
...
That is, Cheney's pals will be making:
  • a guaranteed 1% on every dollar they spend;
  • another unspecified fee if the de facto head of the U.S. government, i.e. the former head of that company, approves of their work; and
  • all the usual profit made by Cabal-affiliated companies via fraudulent accounting and billing practices, which are looked for about as often as the de juro head of the U.S. government doesn't babble inanely when he gets off script.
That is, no matter what kind of job Brown & Root does at supplying "non-core military support", another huge chunk of the tax dollars of the lower and middle class are going to be transferred to the Cabal's wealthy buddies. If you sing "Proud to Be an American" loudly and often enough, though, eventually you can convince yourself that your tax dollars are being wasted by welfare queens, illegal immigrants and other more ideologically serviceable scapegoats. LET'S FUCKING ROLL, DUDES!!!
posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 03:06:55 PM | link

A COMMENT ON THE S&L SCANDALS
A friend sends the following comment about how "difficult" it was to figure out that something was fishy about the S&Ls in the 1980s.
I also recall that Peter Lynch, investment guru, knew that there was something wrong with S&Ls long before the scandal hit. It appears he, um, read their balance sheets.

In the early-mid 1980s his fund, Magellan, loaded up on S&Ls and did well out of them. But not long after, perhaps mid 1986 or 87, he noticed, as he said in one of his books, that they were doing some "strange things" (mainly switching from residential to commercial mortgages, and low quality, even quite dubious, commercial mortagages at that) and sold off his holdings.

In other words that the S&L boom was indeed a bubble was evident to anyone who took the trouble to look. Lynch is indeed a legendary investor, but his ability to read balance sheets is not anything out of the ordinary. The evidence was there.

At the risk of sounding (heh) repetitive, the upshot of the S&L fraud was a transfer of $150 billion from the proles to the elite. The only explanation I can think of for the continued defense of the latter by altogether too many of the former is the delusion of the former - most properly termed "useful idiots" - that they'd eventually get a treat if they sucked up loudly and often enough. While this sort of behavior is endearing when exhibited by dogs, it is much less so coming from those who supposedly aren't fascinated by their own feces.
posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 02:53:25 PM |
link

URIBE: THE NARCO-CANDIDATE
With Alvaro Uribe Velez having won the presidential election in Colombia, this might be a good time to look at the colorful history of what
Narco News calls the " narco-candidate".
In 1997 and 1998, alert U.S. Customs agents in California seized three suspicious Colombia-bound ships that, the agents discovered, were laden with 50,000 kilos of potassium permanganate, a key "precursor chemical" necessary for the manufacture of cocaine.

According to a document signed by then-DEA chief Donnie R. Marshall on August 3, 2001, the ships were each destined for Medellín, Colombia, to a company called GMP Productos Quimicos, S. A. (GMP Chemical Products).

The 50,000 kilos of the precursor chemical destined for GMP were enough to make half-a-million kilos of cocaine hydrochloride, with a street value of $15 billion U.S. dollars.

The owner of GMP Chemical Products, according to the 2001 DEA chief's report, is Pedro Juan Moreno Villa, the campaign manager, former chief of staff, and longtime right-hand-man for front-running Colombian presidential candidate Alvaro Uribe Vélez.

Mr. Moreno was Uribe's political alter-ego before, during and after those nervous 1997 and 1998 months when he awaited those contraband shipments.

When Uribe was governor of the state of Antioquia from 1995 to 1997 - from its capitol of Medellín - Moreno was chief of staff in Governor Uribe's office. During those years, according to then-DEA chief Marshall, ""Between 1994 and 1998, GMP was the largest importer of potassium permanganate into Colombia."

This is the story of the Narco-Candidate, Alvaro Uribe, whose 1982 election as mayor of Medellín, whose 1995 election as governor of Antioquia and whose pending ascendance this year to the presidency of Colombia each mark new chapters in the evolution of the modern Narco-State.
...

Just imagine what would happen if one of the Cabal's top henchmen was caught exporting that amount of potassium permanganate to Colombia. Actually, I can. If anybody in the media even bothered to look, they'd be immediately labeled a "conspiracy nut" by the "responsible media" so the latter could retain access and get luncheon invites to the Bush White House.
posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 02:45:53 PM | link

TRASH FOR CASH
Jake Bernstein at the Texas Observer interviews Bill Black, who ferreted out many of the crooks who used the savings and loan industry to commit massive fraud in the 1980s - a fraud that eventually cost the taxpayers $150 billion. That is, it was basically a transfer payment of $150 billion from the middle and lower classes to the very few extremely wealthy and/or connected people who comitted the fraud, e.g. the Bush clan. Black offers much insight as to what's currently happening with Enron and its ilk.
...
The still-idealistic Black has developed a theory he calls "control fraud," to explain how a CEO bent on fraud, in the right conditions, can do massive damage. Like a pyramid scheme, these accounting scams and others worked as long as the S&L traded in assets that had an uncertain market value, in this case, future construction projects. It also needed to show constant growth to hide the vanishing money. As Black relates, all of the S&Ls that purported to be the most profitable proved to be catastrophic failures in the end.

He sees multiple parallels between the S&L debacle and Enron, which according to recent reports seems to have overstated its assets by $24 billion. The Houston-based energy trader was not the only major fraudster operating in the American economy. As K-Mart struggles to survive exposure of its accounting trickery and major institutions like JPMorgan Chase teeter under the weight of dubious lending and derivative profits, Black's critique grows ever more illuminating.
...

Now to some of the interview, in which we find how Arthur Anderson was also heavily involved with the Lincoln Savings and Loan/Charles Keating fiasco. That is, fraud is an Arthur Anderson corporate policy rather than the fault of "rogue employees" as they're attempting to claim at their trial.
Q: What are some of the parallels with Enron and the S&Ls?

A: One of the things that [Kenneth] Lay did was go to his chief regulator, the chairman of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) that regulates pipe lines, and said, "if you want to be reappointed, I could be helpful to you. If you modify your position." The second thing that Lay did was give a list of proposed regulators to Bush. The people currently serving are from that list.

Arthur Andersen is a direct parallel. In fact Arthur Andersen, in the case of Lincoln [Savings and Loan] did worse things than it did in Enron. What AA is getting in tremendous trouble for [now] is a cover-up after the fact, not from shareholders, but from trying to escape liability itself.

In the Lincoln case, Keating's entire purchase of the S&L was funded by Michael Milken of Drexel Burnham. And Michael did what he commonly did, which was to overfund dramatically. Keating needed $51 million to buy Lincoln Savings. Instead Milken issued well over $100 million in Keating's parent company bonds. Now this is a really, really heavily leveraged company. Which is to say that Milken had Keating by the short hairs.

So Lincoln is soon buying more than a billion dollars in junk bonds, overwhelmingly from Milken. But now they have a problem, because a junk bond, as Milken used to be fond of emphasizing, is really a corporate loan. So we have these little things called rules which say that if you are going to make a loan to somebody, you have to underwrite it first. You have to make sure you are going to get paid back. But Keating has zero control or input on this billion-dollar junk bond portfolio. He finds out at the end of the day in a telex what he now owns. Milken just does all the trades. You can see how useful this is to Milken in manipulating junk bond prices, creating his record low default rates that he always bragged about. So they have done no underwriting, and they know that our examiners, the first thing we look at is underwriting. So they go, "oh shit, we have a problem."

Again like Enron, they hire Arthur Andersen in their consulting role, then simultaneously as their auditor. They have a team of folks in a big conference room who spend weeks creating phony documents. It's more clever than backdating. Undated. This is in some cases two years after they bought the junk bonds. When they do the undated stuff, they make sure that they only have information in there up to the date the investment was actually made. So the intent is obviously to make it look like they were contemporaneous underwriting documents, but without ever dating them, and creating an express falsehood. They did that to at least hundreds of files.

Then you have the special partnerships. Keating used the special partnerships as a way to get money to his family from the S&L. Keating even had an [Andrew] Fastow like character.
...
Q: Where is the line between creative accounting and fraud?

A: What we seem unwilling in our business culture to admit is that it became fraud a long time ago in a broad range of businesses. Let me give you an example. I live near Silicon valley. It is very common in the high-tech companies to sell merchandise on December 31 and have it returned two days later. Typically it's software. You sell it to someone who understands the game, and they have a complete right to return it. You book the gain in the current fiscal year, do your financial reports with that gain, and it makes your statement look really good. And that is known as "window dressing." Window dressing is fairly pervasive. Managing earnings is incredibly pervasive. They teach it in business school. You want to smooth earnings, so you manage them. Let's book this gain, but not book that gain until the next month. Then it will be more steady and investors will like that and such. All of those things are actually fraudulent practices. You are not following appropriate rules. You are doing so to mislead the investor. But we don't treat it as if it is illegal.

The rules actually say it is securities fraud to deliberately not follow generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). If they deliberately don't follow GAAP, under SEC rules, that's fraud. But nobody believes the SEC is going to bring that action unless you have also done other bad things, in which case they may add in a charge. And so those practices become not universal, but pervasive. And in my criminology ethics hat, that is a very bad thing, because that's an erosion. And if we can justify that, then it's not that much greater a step to lay on this phony partnership and this phony deal because we really think there is value down the line in the investment. You can see this whole rationalization practice. People do that, and it gets easier, I think, because the SEC allows it.

I don't know if you ever heard of Stanley Sporkin. Sporkin was the SEC enforcement head back maybe 30 years ago. He was the guy who was just hell on wheels about evil conduct. When I was a lawyer at my big law firm, Sporkin was really useful with clients because you could say, "It's wrong to do it. If you do it, you know what Stanley Sporkin is like. You may end up on the front page of the Washington Post." We haven't had a Stanley Sporkin for a long time.

Q: How prevalent do you think fraud truly is in American business?

A: I don't think control fraud is frequent in the Fortune 500. But I think we now know that it was not remotely an unheard of thing. Some of the biggest companies in America were at root financial frauds. Enron's strategic plan was to engage in fraud, which is basically what the Powers' report shows. As soon as you make it clear that it is fine to scam the numbers-not only fine, but the central business strategy-what kind of message are you sending? We now have several other major firms and charities where that has also proven true. And we have seen all of those folks get clean opinions from big five audit firms, which is really scary.

More generally, people are starting to figure out that having something like the high-tech bubble is really bad for the American economy. When you allow values to get way out of whack with the fundamentals, it's not just money moving around, you can screw up your economy big time. I have some hope that the collapse of our tech bubble, which was one of the largest bubbles in the history of the world, has also scared some folks into thinking that maybe this isn't such a clever way of doing it. Unfortunately, the attitude was "The rules are silly" and "Aren't we so clever." And that combination produces a lot of the worst disasters.
...
Q: How do the scandals of today measure up to the S&L scandal?

A: You want my pessimistic way of approaching it? If Keating and Milken didn't have the small problem of both having confessed to felonies, they would have made Enron look trivial. The key problem that Keating and Milken had was that they found it very difficult to raise equity. Think of what Keating could have done during the greatest stock boom in the history of the world, where you could have no product at all, and it could be worth billions the next day in an IPO. If Milken had still been at the helm during this incredible boom, think what he would have done in leveraged buyouts. It's staggering. Lay actually got started in part through Milken back in the old days. If the master had been available during this time period, we might be in recession now.
...
Q: Is there a possibility that fraudulent accounting practices could catch up with more companies?

A: Oh yeah. The recession and the collapse of the high-tech bubble act like a stress test. There is no doubt that there are pretty broad-scale games in accounting, and there are a lot of products that didn't make a whole lot of sense or never came through. The only way typically to hide it is to grow a whole lot more-and with the current economy, the money isn't even remotely coming in the same way. It will catch up to them because when you lie, you eventually do end up getting caught once it collapses.


posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 01:37:56 PM | link

HAXOR ECONOMIST
Haxor Economist

posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 01:27:56 PM | link

A STOCKHOLDER'S LAMENT
A friend writes:
A company I own shares in (though less than formerly) admits to ripping off California:


CALGARY -- TransAlta Corp. has admitted it used some of the controversial trading practices being investigated in the California energy market, but a spokesman for the Calgary-based generator insists it has done nothing legally or morally wrong.

TransAlta, which posted its response to a U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) request for information on its Web site yesterday, said it has used two of the 10 colourfully named trading practices detailed in an internal Enron Corp. memo.

FERC is investigating the bankrupt energy trader's alleged market abuses in California, which may have led to huge price spikes in 2000 and 2001.

TransAlta admitted it has used a strategy called "export of California power," in which companies buy power in California where prices are capped, then sell to an outside market where it isn't capped to take advantage of price spreads. It also admitted to using a strategy Enron called "ricochet" -- which FERC also termed "megawatt laundering" -- where a company buys power at the California power exchange for export to another entity, which then sells it back to California.

Nadine Walz, a TransAlta spokeswoman, said it does not believe the above strategies are wrong.


As a shareholder there is zero I can do about this. Though I have 400 votes in the next election, as usual there will be no competing ticket to vote for, just the old crowd. In the world of corporate elections, democracy is a bigger joke than it was in the old Soviet Union.

Pity. Transalta is one of the few Kyoto-compliant power companies on the continent. Or at least they say they are. I wonder if anyone checks such statements.


posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 01:24:09 PM |
link

MORE BOOK LISTS
Portage provides some book list links for your entertainment and edification. I've thus far been refused access to the first list. Hope y'all have better luck.
posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 11:18:34 AM | link

SCHOOL PRIVATIZERS CRASHING
Peter Daniels reports of the wholly unimpressive results of the biggest school privatization experiment thus far.
Edison Schools, the for-profit company that was handed control of 20 schools in the city of Philadelphia only a month ago, is reported to be facing a severe cash crisis that imperils its plans for expansion and may even jeopardize its current operations.

The company has grown substantially in recent years, with the help of sympathetic local and state politicians. Its revenue for the fiscal year that ended in June 2001 was $375.8 million, compared to $38.6 million five years earlier. It currently manages schools enrolling some 75,000 students in 22 different US states, including nearly all the largest states-California, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Texas and New York.

This rapid growth has not translated into profits for Edison, however. It has reported continuous losses, with its cumulative losses now amounting to more than $240 million. The shortfalls have been made up by infusions of cash raised primarily from sales of company stock. Its initial public offering in November 1999 raised more than $120 million, and second and third offerings, in August 2000 and March 2001 respectively, raised another several hundred million dollars.

Now, however, Edison must raise at least another $50 million at a time when its stock price has completely collapsed. Like some of the dot.com casualties and other high-flying firms from the late 1990s, its shares have fallen more than 95 percent from their high of several years ago. Edison stock traded at $35 a share in early 2001, fell to $20 by the beginning of 2002, and is now less than $1.50. Thus the sale of new stock is obviously not now an option, but other alternatives appear to be equally unpalatable. Edison had to pledge $61 million in assets last fall as collateral for a loan of only $20 million. It has also been paying as much as 20 percent interest on some loans.

The company may turn again to wealthy investors whose primary motive is an ideological one. Edison has become the standard bearer of the campaign, backed by growing sections of the wealthy and big business, to privatize the education system. Its supporters have argued that the introduction of the profit motive is necessary to provide a decent education. At the very least, they have claimed, the element of competition will shake up the "public school monopoly" and force the public schools to improve.
...

This is happening despite several pragmatic advantages over public schools that Edison managed to obtain.
...
Edison enjoyed certain unique advantages. It was able to arrange for some of its schools to be assisted by private charities, giving it an advantage over public schools. It also charged fees that were based on an average of the money spent on all the students in a given district, thus getting higher fees based on high school spending, while running elementary and middle schools that require less funding.
...
As to the honesty of those running Edison, can you say "Enron"?
...
The Securities and Exchange Commission, for instance, announced last week that Edison had provided false information about its past revenues and had maintained inadequate financial controls. According to the SEC, Edison agreed to a settlement that, without admitting wrongdoing, committed the company to various changes in its financial methods and procedures.
...
Although the investors have lost out in a big way, with several class-action lawsuits in the works, you can bet that the management isn't hurting. It's a given that quite a few offshore bank accounts have swelled up a bit over the last couple of years.

Meanwhile, the shell game continues elsewhere. The usual scenario is to make massive cuts in public education funding, then castigate it for not living up to expectations, at which point the privatizers crawl out from under their rocks with their hands full of magic beans. It begins in New York:

...
Recently in New York City, the Board of Education spelled out a "worst-case scenario" to local school districts, forecasting that proposed budget cuts will mean a loss of "almost a billion dollars in services to students compared to the funding levels of a year ago."
...

posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 10:56:23 AM | link

THE SPOOKS AND THE BOGEYMEN
Intel Briefing writes about western intelligence agencies and an organization sexy cover-boy Donald Rumsfeld would have you believe has been devastated.
...
Western intelligence has been shown up for what essentially it has undoubtedly become, a bottomless pit, absorbing billions of dollars annually, but failing its nations security when most vitally needed. The scandal of missed chances, of the failure to take the terrorist threat seriously enough and to act upon such information that was available, the break-down in co-operation with foreign services and the failure to impose even basic security at vulnerable airports has yet to be adequately addressed. To add insult to injury the intelligence community largely failed again once the fighting got under way.

he constant stream of reports suggesting a critical lack of analysis, of human rescues (HUMINT) and a woeful lack of useful intelligence input to US and allied military operations in Afghanistan has barely stopped in the last seven months. The fact that the British Royal Marines should so gleefully blow up a huge ammunition storage area identified by the CIA as a Taliban/Al Qa'ida base, only to discover that it belonged to an Afghan ally nicely highlights a less than flattering impression of the overall effectiveness of the war on terrorism.

Al Qa'ida or Qa`idat al-Jihad and the other major groups of Islamic Jihad have survived, their command infrastructure is being rebuilt and the great majority of their fighters have avoided capture or death. Their support and financial networks, despite hyped up claims to the contrary are intact and functioning, indeed there is some evidence that they have been expanded into new areas and new terrorist partnerships. The majority of its leaders have escaped and those killed have been replaced by a younger and probably more dangerous generation of terrorists. At times the terrorists look to be running rings around an unimaginative and rather leaden Western response.

The War on Terrorism is drifting into an inconclusive stalemate, increasingly side-tracked by a determination in Washington to settle old scores with Saddam Hussein and other members of the so-called 'Axis of Evil'. It is difficult to see just how this fits in with a proper response to 9-11, unless The Whitehouse seriously believes in a widespread Islamic conspiracy against US interests. There is now a strong suggestion that both Britain and the other European allies are increasingly less than happy with the joint US-Israeli stance on the Palestinian issue and indeed the Middle East in general and Washington would be well advised to take such doubts on board or risk having to take unilateral military action, without the legitimacy granted by widespread international support or the additional forces it would provide.

The big problem is that HUMINT isn't anywhere near as profitable as building planes, bombs, etc. for those in charge. Look for all the "upgrades", including the supposed "FBI catharsis" to be based on optimizing profit rather than utility. What the hell good is war if Daddy Warbucks can't get a new mansion in the Hamptons out of it?
posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 10:33:12 AM | link

IS INDIA REALLY MILITARILY SUPERIOR?
Intel Briefing begs to disagree with the "common knowledge" that India is vastly superior to Pakistan in military matters.
As speculation continues to grow about the likelihood of a potential nuclear conflict developing from any major Indian anti-terrorist campaign inside the Pakistan held areas of Kashmir, there is an unfortunate misunderstanding of the military realities amongst much of the worlds media. Tables showing India with an overwhelming superiority in manpower, tanks and combat aircraft, with colourful graphs on the TV News indicating the movement of the Indian fleet into the Arabian Sea to blockade Pakistan's main seaports all add to the belief, indeed fostered by Islamabad that Pakistan may be forced into a first use of nuclear weapons because of the sizeable conventional imbalance in India's favour.

In fact nothing could be further from the truth. India has a vast and troubled land mass to police, borders with Burma (Myanmar) and a Nepal racked by a Maoist rebellion, but much more importantly and strategically vital are several long borders with Communist China. Beijing keeps several hundred thousand well armed and trained troops on India's northern borders and in small enclaves captured in previous conflicts. The Chinese also lay claim to considerable additional areas of northern India and these defensive commitments alone tie down large numbers of India's front line troops and aircraft well away from the potential battleground with Pakistan. Indeed, as much of the northern border area's are mountainous the defending Indian troops would be ideal for the combat conditions in Kashmir, however while China remains a close ally of Islamabad there is little real chance of the re-deployment of any of these much needed Indian units. The cities of Northern India are vulnerable not only to Pakistan, but also to Chinese air attack and cities such as Calcutta well away from the western battle zone still draw off considerable numbers of air defence aircraft from any air war with Pakistan.

Pakistan, on the other hand, free of its Afghan commitments can concentrate much of its smaller, though still considerable armed forces near the Line of Control in Kashmir and further south along the border with India, while its Air Force is only required to defend a much smaller geographical area. Indeed, in many vital zones and important choke points for any prospective Indian attack, Pakistan may well be able to achieve considerable local superiority in both manpower and equipment. Pakistan will also have shorter lines of communication, logistic re-supply and indeed the support of tens of thousands of Islamic terrorists operating both behind the Indian front line and within Jammu & Kashmir itself. The opportunities for supporters of both Kashmir separatism and Osama Bin-Ladin to carry out a reign of terror and sabotage within Indian territory is immense and must surely be a major factor shaping any future Indian offensive.
...

Rest assured that in the event of any major conflict between the two countries, ranging from the WWI-esque trading of thousands of bodies in ground combat to nuke exchanges, the opportunities for hugely profitable investments in the munitions and related sectors will not only hold fast but greatly increase. Just because a bunch of crazed nig-nogs want to meet their non-existent deities sooner rather than later doesn't mean that you should feel guilty about getting that second SUV you've had your eye on. After all, not only is your deity real, but he's got your country on top of his approval list. How else can you explain the divine inspiration of Lee Greenwood?
posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 10:11:49 AM | link

AVOIDING THE REAL QUESTIONS
The folks at
Jane's Intelligence Digest got back from their three Molotov cocktail lunch in time to write the following.
The controversy raging in the US over whether warnings about potential terror attacks by Al-Qaeda were ignored before 11 September hardly comes as a surprise. What is far more serious - and has yet to be properly investigated - is why two successive administrations took a series of ultimately disastrous political decisions concerning Osama bin Laden's terrorist network and its backers, the Taliban regime.

Since the hijackings, criticism has tended to be directed at the US intelligence agencies and the Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS), rather than the administration of US President George W. Bush or that of his predecessor, Bill Clinton. However, as more evidence emerges about the type of intelligence which was available - and those who had access to this material, but failed to make use of it - the politicians are going to have to answer some very awkward questions.

While it could be argued that there have been intelligence failures, the more critical issue is why there was such a determination on the part of both administrations to avoid any serious action against the Al-Qaeda network or the Taliban. As JID revealed last year, Russia's intelligence services had been extremely active in using their extensive operations in and around Afghanistan to build up a very detailed blueprint of the Taliban regime, its close links with the Al-Qaeda organisation and the extent to which both were actively supported by the Pakistani military and the Inter-Service Intelligence agency (ISI). The Russian permanent mission to the United Nations provided a report on this subject to the UN Security Council on 9 March 2001 (see JID 5 October 2001).

However, it is becoming clear that this was only the most high profile of a number of attempts by the Russians to alert the US and other members of the Security Council to the extent of the inter-dependence between the Taliban, Al-Qaeda and the ISI. According to JID's Russian sources, there was a regular flow of information from Moscow to the US dating back to the last years of the Clinton presidency.

It seems apparent, however, that although this intelligence was being received by the CIA and other US agencies, there was a distinct lack of enthusiasm within political - as opposed to military - circles for the launch of pre-emptive strikes against either the Taliban or Al-Qaeda.

However, given the detailed intelligence being provided by the Russians - and the fact that Bin Laden was making very clear threats to launch further strikes against US targets - it seems bizarre, to say the least, that no high-level political decision was taken to focus US intelligence efforts on Al-Qaeda and its international network, particularly following the bomb attack on the USS Cole in Aden harbour, Yemen, in October 2000.

I knew it! It's Clinton's fault!
posted by Steven Baum 5/30/2002 10:00:01 AM | link

Wednesday, May 29, 2002

SOUNDS STRANGELY FAMILIAR
The
Times of India reports how the rapscallions in power there are using bellicose, saber-rattling rhetoric for the crass purpose of inflating their flagging poll numbers.
For the BJP component of the Union government, its domestic compulsions - the realisation that it must return to its Hindutva agenda to deal with a plunging electoral graph - appears to be dictating its Kashmir policy. This is reflected in the war rhetoric of its ministers and party functionaries.

For the BJP-led government, the gunning down of family members of soldiers in Kaluchak by militants has allowed the heat to be taken off the domestic and international criticism of the Modi government?s role in Gujarat.
...

Thank the deities that real democracies avoid this kind of crass manipulation of the proles.
posted by Steven Baum 5/29/2002 11:11:52 AM | link

NEW LABOUR'S WEAPONS MART
The
Mirror reports how Cabal lapdog Blair et al. are indiscrimately selling weapons to anyone with a pile of money and a grudge. You know, just like the Carlyle Group.
BRITAIN is continuing to sell military hardware to suspect regimes and countries ravaged by war, corruption and poverty, a Mirror investigation reveals.

A third of Britain's Government-approved arms exports go to nations where there is a risk of provoking or prolonging conflict in defiance of EU codes of conduct.

Other countries which receive our arms are likely to pass them on to Britain's strategic enemies, says the Campaign Against the Arms Trade.

To hide the extent of the scandal the Government shrouds the contents of arms consignments in secrecy, invokes the Official Secrets Act to stop MPs asking questions and hides behind confidentiality clauses.

It makes a mockery of New Labour's once vaunted claim to pursue an "ethical" foreign policy. Saferworld campaign group said: "The whole industry is shrouded in secrecy with manufacturers and politicians hiding behind phrases such as commercial sensitivity and classified information."
...

For those who've not been keeping track, the Brits supplied quite a bit of the chemical weapons technology and expertise Iraq developed in the early 1980s, back when the Ayatollah Khomeini rather than Saddam Hussein was the Hitler of the Century of the Week.
posted by Steven Baum 5/29/2002 11:08:56 AM | link

FROM SILICON VALLEY TO DEATH VALLEY
The
BBC reports (via Antiwar) how some have managed to pick themselves up, dust themselves off, roll up their sleeves, and patiently wait for the trainloads of gold to arrive at their doorsteps. It's another heartwarming, tearjerking tale of brave survivors.
It's gold rush fever in America's so called 'military silicon valley'.

And San Diego companies are beginning to reap the benefits of the extra $48bn the Bush administration is spending on defence in the wake of the worst terrorist atrocity committed on US soil.

The fear of a repeat of 11 September has led to mammoth budget increases in defence, homeland security and bioterrorism as the nation launches a major rearmament and wages what looks to be a lengthy war on terrorism.

The county's Chamber of Commerce says while most of the money is expected to flow to international defence giants with operations in the county, other local technology firms and even small obscure start-ups are also sharing in the largest defence build up in 20 years.
...

We'll leave it as an exercise for the reader to figure out how much is going to Carlyle Group affiliates as the biggest corporate welfare scam of the last half century accelerates to light speed.
posted by Steven Baum 5/29/2002 11:01:28 AM | link

YES, MY NEIGHBOR IS A TALIBAN
I've been forwarded the following bit about the "collateral damage" during the Afghan bombing runs.
In the current Afghan War III, the local warlords were given satphones to call down American airstrikes on those nasty Taliban types if they should run into them. Being Afghani, they used these toys to call down American airstrikes on their old non-Taliban enemies, settling old scores and racking up some new ones. This, apparently, is the reason for some of the "unfortunate" friendly fire incidents reported at the beginning of the current unpleasantness. The air directors are now a lot more cynical about reports from the locals, and some of the more egregious have had their toys taken away from them.

posted by Steven Baum 5/29/2002 10:05:35 AM |
link

SCIFFY LISTS
Wisse Words links to a couple of sciffy-related lists, both by China Mieville. The item in the first list that really jumps out at me is Bulgakov's The Master and the Margarita, both because I've just recently read it and because it's a corking fine and crackling good read. Mieville's certainly done his homework, exposing me to several books of which I've previously been unaware.
posted by Steven Baum 5/29/2002 09:57:56 AM | link

Tuesday, May 28, 2002

SECURITY DOLTS
Jason Vest writes of the wars the Bush Cabal was fighting before 9/11, which goes a long way towards explaining all the warnings they either deliberately or stupidly ignored.
...
Proponents of such blinkered defense priorities -- Andrew Marshall's Office of Net Assessment at the Pentagon, the Rumsfeld commissions on ballistic missiles and space, and Frank Gaffney's private, defense contractor-funded Center for Security Policy come to mind -- have produced a steady stream of reports based on dubious methodology.

"In the case of China and ballistic missile threats from other countries, their logic goes something like this," one of the military's most respected China scholars told me last year. "Here is where their technology is now. Here is where it could be in the near to mid-term future, given the following variables. One possibility could be an ominous one; here's the worst-case scenario, so policy should be to expect that scenario and, accordingly, arm for it. Forget factoring in a close examination of political, economic, social, or environmental trends or issues; don't consider that bellicose statements are often made for domestic consumption or in order to brown-nose aging apparatchiks. Disregard the utility of treaties and nonproliferation regimes, and make sure diplomacy tends toward the coercive rather than the constructive."

There's no need to take this critic's word for it; just visit the Center for Security Policy's Web site. Judging from the dozens of "reports" the center has issued since the August 1998 embassy bombings, the most urgent threats to American national security are, in no particular order: China, ballistic missiles, Cuba, Iraq, and threats posed to Israel by Syria and Yasir Arafat. Osama bin Laden's terrorist network doesn't make the cut. Indeed, only two of the center's "reports" since 1998 have dealt with al-Qaeda, and even those have done so only indirectly. According to the center, the most important lesson learned from the 1998 attacks was one illustrated by the U.S. retaliation against the al-Shifa pharmaceutical plant: that there's no way "chemical weapons can be effectively and verifiably banned," which proves that it's necessary to kill any form of chemical weapons control.

It would be tempting to laugh this off if Gaffney's group weren't so influential. As one page on the Center for Security Studies Web site proudly notes, no fewer than 22 of the center's advisory council members now occupy key national security positions in the Bush administration. So no matter what congressional or other inquiries reveal about the failures of intelligence, it should come as no surprise that whatever intelligence was put in front of policy makers about hijacked airplanes (as missiles or otherwise) got little traction. With Iraq spawning terrorist legions, China girding for World War III, North Korea looking to launch a missile at Alaska, and Fidel Castro plotting to destroy the Colossus of the North, there simply wasn't any room for bin Laden in the pantheon of threats that govern the Bush security orthodoxy.

Of course now the Cabal - unable to do jackshit in the way of producing Osama's head on a platter - is returning to their previous tactics with brilliant wolf-crying along the lines of "if Cuba had a nuke then they could use it."
posted by Steven Baum 5/28/2002 05:21:05 PM | link

INDEBTED BUMS
A
report from the New Economics Foundation (via Progressive Review) makes some interesting points.
...
The accumulated external debt of the world's richest country, the USA, is equal to $2.2 trillion. This is almost the exact amount owed by the whole of the developing world, including India, China and Brazil - $2.5 trillion.

In other words, three hundred million poeple in the US owe as much to the rest of the world, as do five billion people in all of the developing countries.

Or, to put it differently, every American citizen owes the rest of the world $7,333 while every citizen of all the developing countries only owes the rest of the world $500.

Moreover, while developing country economies are bled dry through debt service repayments totalling more than $300 billion per year, the US must only pay $20 billion per year to service an almost equivalent amount of debt.

Americans have been engaged in a consumer binge, which has led to the largest current account deficit in history, a staggering $445 billion or 4% of US GDP. This deficit has been increasing by 50% a year in recent years, and economists predict it will rise to $730 billion by 2006.

Given this daily deficit of up to $2 billion, plus capital outflow of $2 billion, the US in effect has to borrow $4 billion from the pool of world savings every day.
...

Another thing to keep in mind is that the debt service payments by the developing countries are paid to American banks, while the debt service payments by the U.S. are paid by the taxpayers. This is in effect yet another income transfer from the middle class and the poor to the very wealthy. Grab yer ankles, mateys, but don't forget to bob back up once in a while to wave that flag proudly and chant "USA!"
posted by Steven Baum 5/28/2002 04:54:33 PM | link

ANOTHER ONE FOR THE PAYMASTERS
The
Boston Globe reports (via Progressive Review) on another corporate approved (i.e. demanded and obtained) appointment to a top government position.
Dr. Alastair J. J. Wood had every reason to believe he was about to be nominated by President Bush to one of the nation's most important health jobs: commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration.

His medical credentials were unchallenged. Equally important, the Vanderbilt University pharmacologist was being pushed strongly by Senator William Frist, the Tennessee Republican who is perhaps Bush's most important medical adviser.

Then, just as word leaked that Wood had won the job to head the 8,000 scientists and other employees who regulate one-fourth of US consumer spending, the pharmaceutical industry and its allies struck back. If Wood became commissioner, one influential industry ally wrote in a conservative online magazine, the FDA's message to patients wanting life-saving drugs would be: ''Drop dead.''

The article said Wood was obsessed with drug-safety review and, applying the coup de grace, announced that he was ''a buddy of Senator Ted Kennedy'' - even though Wood had never met or spoken to the Massachusetts Democrat.

Within days, the White House dumped Wood. ''There was a great deal of concern that he put too much emphasis on the safety,'' Frist said in an interview, bluntly explaining why his friend was jettisoned.
...


posted by Steven Baum 5/28/2002 04:27:32 PM | link

OFF TO OFFUTT
So where were a group of "business leaders" on 9/11 when they would normally be in the World Trade Center? At at "charity event" at Offutt Air Force Base in Omaha, Nebraska, according to a 2/1/02
San Francisco Business Times article.
...
On the morning of Sept. 11, Tatlock herself had just arrived with a small group of business leaders at Offutt Air Force Base in Omaha for a charity event hosted by Warren Buffett. She then heard the news of the first plane hitting the World Trade Center's north tower.
...
Tatlock is Anne Tatlock, the chairman and CEO of Fiduciary Trust Co. International, whose corporate headquarters used to be located in the WTC. One wonders who else was in that "small group of business leaders" who miraculously escaped the grim reaper that day at a "charity event" 1500 miles away from their home offices.

Even more entertaining is the fact that the leader of the Cabal also ended up at Offutt Air Force Base on that fateful day, after doing his best Brave Sir Robin imitation for most of the day (and, of course, witnessing on TV outside a school classroom the crashing of the first jet at 8:45 AM before the second jet crashed at 9:03 AM).
posted by Steven Baum 5/28/2002 04:09:04 PM | link

DADDY WARBUCKS IN INDIA
The Guardian reports on Britain wanting to sell weapons to India.
Britain is still trying to profit from the Indian arms market, despite a growing threat of war with Pakistan and the government's official guidelines on weapons exports.

Ministers have been pushing the sale of 60 Hawk jets worth £1bn. Earlier this year British companies, with official blessing, offered howitzers, anti-aircraft guns, missiles and tanks at a major arms fair in New Delhi.

Whitehall said yesterday that Britain's policy on arms sales to India or Pakistan had not changed, though ministers are warning of the increasing likelihood of a military conflict between the two nuclear powers over Kashmir.

Jack Straw, the foreign secretary, has warned that the Kashmir crisis is now potentially more dangerous than that in the Middle East. Yet the government has imposed a de facto arms embargo on Israel while continuing to promote arms sales to India.

Guidelines announced in 1997 after Labour came to power state that the government "will not issue an export licence if there is a clearly identifiable risk that the intended recipient would use the proposed export aggressively against another country".

They state that the government will also take into account the likelihood of armed conflict between the recipient and another country, and the threat to "regional stability".

The prime minister, Tony Blair, warned India and Pakistan this week that military action "could plunge not just their countries into conflict, but the wider region, with implications for the whole world".

The Hawk, produced by BAE Systems, can be used as a ground attack aircraft and would be used to train Indian pilots to fly fast jets, including Jaguar bombers. The Jaguar bombers, produced under licence are capable of being adapted to carry nuclear weapons, the Ministry of Defence admits.

So why is Tony Blair trying so hard to sell weapons to India while he's put an embargo on Israel? Blair's trip to India and Pakistan back in January of this year, ostensibly to preach nicey-nice to those rattling nuclear sabers on either side, was in fact at least partially an attempt to put the squeeze on India, which the BBC reported to be waffling on the weapons deal last August.

So why is Tony traveling to make peace by selling weapons? Perhaps a clue can be found in a BAE Systems announcement about one of their partners ... you guessed it, the Carlyle Group.
posted by Steven Baum 5/28/2002 02:53:39 PM | link

QUOTE OF THE WEEK
From a
White House transcript of a 12/04/01 town hall meeting. The titular head of the Bush Cabal has just been asked how he felt when he heard about the terrorist attack.
Well, Jordan, you're not going to believe what state I was in when I heard about the terrorist attack. I was in Florida. And my Chief of Staff, Andy Card -- actually, I was in a classroom talking about a reading program that works. I was sitting outside the classroom waiting to go in, and I saw an airplane hit the tower -- the TV was obviously on. And I used to fly, myself, and I said, well, there's one terrible pilot. I said, it must have been a horrible accident.

But I was whisked off there, I didn't have much time to think about it. And I was sitting in the classroom, and Andy Card, my Chief of Staff, who is sitting over here, walked in and said, "A second plane has hit the tower, America is under attack."

Now how many other people on the planet saw television coverage of the first plane hitting the tower before they had heard of the second plane hitting the other tower?
posted by Steven Baum 5/28/2002 02:10:26 PM | link

KERRVILLE FOLK FESTIVAL
I've just returned from a weekend out at Kerrville, Texas, where the
Kerrville Folk Festival is currently cruising along in high gear. Although I've lived in these here parts for 18 years, this is the first time I've attended that 31-year-old celebration of folk (as well as other kinds of) music. I attended the Saturday evening festivities, which featured Ian Moore, Bill Morrissey, James Keelaghan, Jay Boy Adams, Sally Fingerett and the Goose Creek Symphony. While Keelaghan and Morrissey were the only "strictly speaking" pure folkies of the bunch, all were most talented and entertaining. The biggest surprise was Moore, who I've known of for years but always thought was just another of those great guitarists from Austin. Well, that he surely is, but he's also a tremendous singer. He ended his set with a version of Dylan's "You're a Big Girl Now" that would turn the songwriter green with envy. Moore's going to be here in River City, er, College Station on June 22 with his full band. That's bright red on the calendar now.
posted by Steven Baum 5/28/2002 09:37:33 AM | link


Comments?
Archive

LISTS

Books
Software

uPORTALS

cider
crime lit
drive-in
fake lit
hurricanes
os
scripting
sherlock
texas music
top 100
weirdsounds
wodehouse

LEISURE

abebooks
alibris
amazon
bibliofind
bookfinder
hamilton
powells

all music guide
best used cds
cd bargains
second spin
raven's links

ampol
arts & letters
atlantic
art history
attrition
bibliomania
bitch
bizarre
bizarro
bloom country
bob 'n' ed
bob the angry flower
callahan
chile pepper
classical music
cnnsi
crackbaby
cult films
culture jamming
discover
disinformation
dismal scientist
electric sheep
espn
exquisite corpse
feed
fine cooking
fishbowl
fluble
fried society
fry and laurie
hotel fred
hotendotey
hypocrisy network
jerkcity
last cereal
leisure town
logos
london times
mappa mundi
miscmedia
mp3lit
mr. chuck show
mr. serpent
national geographic
new scientist
no depression
not bored
obscure store
onion
on-line books
parking lot is full
pearly gates
phrase and fable
probe
red meat
rough guides
salon
Simpleton
sluggy freelance
spacemoose
spike
straight dope
strenua inertia
suck
superosity
tawdry town
too much coffee man
toon inn
verbivore
vidal index
yes minister
you damn kid





Powered by Blogger