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Ethel the Blog
Observations (and occasional brash opining) on science, computers, books, music and other shiny things that catch my mind's eye. There's a home page with ostensibly more permanent stuff. This is intended to be more functional than decorative. I neither intend nor want to surf on the bleeding edge, keep it real, redefine journalism or attract nyphomaniacal groupies (well, maybe a wee bit of the latter). The occasional cheap laugh, raised eyebrow or provocation of interest are all I'll plead guilty to in the matter of intent. Bene qui latuit bene vixit.

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Friday, March 31, 2000

THOUSANDS A DAY!! EEEEEK!
An idiotorial in today's
campus newspaper bemoans how society's priorities are warped because the reward offered for a recently kidnapped child is a mere $15K while the reward offered for the killer of a dog (i.e. someone who pulled a woman's dog out of her car and threw it into three oncoming lanes of traffic) is a whopping $109K. (As an aside, the headline for one of today's front page stories is "Senate fails to Constitutionally protect American flag" in a paper called a "liberal rag" by the undergrad population I like to call the Aggie Youth Corps.) Anyway, while reading this on the can I knew even before I finished the "Golly ain't it horrible how a dog's life is valued more than a human's!?!?!" part that she'd (the idiotorialist) eventually trip lightly and paralogically from the kidnapping in her first paragraph to "2100 children missing a day."

One's first, braindead response to such a number - and the reponse the writer's deliberately trying to provoke - is "Holy shit! Thousands of our precious chillun are being snatched from our loving arms daily!! Call out the National Guard, and where the hell is Batman when you need him!!!!" But the desire to fire up a lynch mob dies as the first neuron kicks in and you do a little math. Lessee - 2100 per day times 365 days per year equals 766,500 kids per year. What!?! No way. Let's see exactly what she said: "Last year, there was an estimated 2,100 children reported missing per day to the police and the FBI's National Crime Information Center according to the National Center for Missing and Exploited Children." According to the NCMEC's most recent Annual Report:

From October 1984 through December 1998, 64,114 cases of missing children have been called into NCMEC's Hotline. This includes 43,764 cases of runaway children; 15,823 children who have been abducted by family members; 2,558 children who were found to have been lost, injured, or otherwise missing; and 1,969 children who were taken by a nonfamily member.
A wee bit of math gives us, for that 14 year period:

runaways - 68.2%
kidnapped by family - 24.7%
lost, etc. - 4.0%
kidnapped by evil "others" - 3.0%

I searched the FBI's NCIC pages for the "2100 per day" figure but didn't find anything more about missing children than a pointer to the NCMEC site. In other words, about 140 children per year are kidnapped by evil strangers. Not 766,500 per year; not 2100 per year; but 140 per year. I couldn't find the stats, but I'll bet that more than that die per year from being beaten by their parents. That is, when they're not being kidnapped by one parent or another (1130 per year), running away from one or both of their parents (3126 per year), or just plain being lost by their caring parents (182 per year). To put it bluntly, a child is in greater danger of being lost by mum and dad than of being kidnapped by a black man in a stocking mask.

And, as to the additional aspect of sexual abuse that's usually thrown into the mix (with the recent addition of the Internet-related hysteria about how TCP/IP was the genesis of child molestation), find out for yourself why a lot of children run away, and just what percentage of those "evil child molesters" aren't related to their victims. There is a great, dark secret here, although it sure as hell isn't the phoney one being flogged on milk cartons and trash TV about how all those evil fags, liberals and folks with suspiciously dark skin are endangering our precious chilluns. No, the secret is that lil' Jimmie and Susie are probably quite a bit safer out of the house than in it.

As to the idiotorial's broad generalization - from two specific examples - that society values dogs more greatly than people ... well, let's just say that if someone managed to get so far as to even attempt to chuck my dog into traffic there'd definitely be at least one additional grease spot on the highway come the morn.
posted by Steven Baum 3/31/2000 03:29:38 PM | link


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